RE: Updated elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Mon Sep 13 2010 - 01:44:33 UTC

  • Next message: Steve Newcomb: "8539 obs Sept 13"

    Derek asked:
    
    > So is this the current elset???
    
    It was within a few seconds and on-track, when Greg and Peter observed tonight, so unless it
    manoeuvres in the interim, my epoch 10255.17 elset is fine, as are any of Mike's of epoch 10255. I
    also offer this update using Greg and Peter's obs:
    
    AEHF 1                                                2222 X 49975 km
    1 36868U 10039A   10255.88551968  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    00
    2 36868  18.2287 302.5108 7352003 193.5783  82.4686  1.48361180    02
    Arc 20100911.09-0912.89 WRMS resid 0.009 totl 0.003 xtrk
    
    There was a possibility of a manoeuvre later, on Sep 13, centred on 01:38:45 UTC (as I type this!);
    if it occurs, and if it is similar to the last one, then the new orbit would be roughly:
    
                                                          2920 X 49975 km
    1 70009U          10256.06857640  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    09
    2 70009  17.2000 301.3000 7167417 194.7000 180.8000  1.46000000    07
    
    If it does not appear in any of the epoch 10255 elset orbits, then expect it up to several minutes
    late, and off-track, possibly near the 70009 orbit.
    
    Happy hunting!
    Ted Molczan
    
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