Decay watch; 2002 November 18

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Nov 18 2002 - 18:04:32 EST

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    Updates from my Decay Watch page:
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #11156 = 78-117 B = Cosmos 1063 r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction available)
    SatEvo     Nov 18 22:50     Nov 20 01:59 +-8h        32.8 S    61.2 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Cosmos 1063 r    2.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  8.6       188 x 181 km
    1 11156U 78117B   02322.88748446  .03942601 -93747-6  67811-3 0  8151
    2 11156  81.2122 325.8881 0005547 208.0938 152.0251 16.33016091313304
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    (ends)
    Cosmos 1063 r    2.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  8.6       139 x 136 km
    1 11156U 78117B   02323.98639494  .29164425  84484+0  32973-3 0 98153
    2 11156  81.2063 324.3615 0002252 203.6823 156.3073 16.50571290313485
    Cosmos 1063 r    2.8  2.6  0.0  5.1 v  8.6       124 x 122 km
    1 11156U 78117B   02324.04693703  .86774906  81375+1  42855-3 0 98155
    2 11156  81.2050 324.2757 0001387 203.4344 156.5592 16.56240873313496
    
    Note: My prediction, still with a sizeable uncertainty, is for this
    to decay southbound over the Indian Ocean on the final SatEvo rev above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #22922 = 93- 76 B = NATO 4B Delta 2 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (No prediction available)
    SatEvo     Nov 18 22:30     Nov 18 03:28 +-35m        0.0      65.1 W
    
    Latest elset:
    NATO 4B r        5.9  2.4  0.0  5.5 d   13       164 x 143 km
    1 22922U 93076B   02322.02373395  .29714373 -16364-4  75876-3 0  2027
    2 22922  22.9910  44.9352 0016795 335.8125  24.2059 16.44656505449881
    
    Note: I estimate that this decayed northbound near the equator crossing
    as it crossed South America at the end of the next orbit, given by the
    SatEvo-prediction:
    NATO 4B r        5.9  2.4  0.0  5.5 d   13       146 x 131 km
    1 22922U 93076B   02322.08428519  .72192671  78509+1  72518-3 0 92024
    2 22922  22.9902  44.4220 0011459 336.7148  23.2333 16.50181436449896
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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