Final notices for the latest decayers from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11682 = 80- 8 A = Cosmos 1154
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 4 19:59 Nov 4 22:14 +-2h 57.8 N 107.9 E
SatEvo Nov 4 23:00 Nov 4 21:45 +-45m 16.8 N 48.8 W
Final elset:
Cosmos 1154 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 19 151 x 141 km
1 11682U 80008A 02308.78226042 .17346509 -10601-5 29756-3 0 1519
2 11682 81.1693 318.9152 0007539 282.6038 77.4417 16.47649706794774
Note: Neither SCC's final analysis nor any further elsets have appeared.
I show it decaying over the Atlantic following the northbound equator
crossing at the end of this SatEvo-predicted orbit:
Cosmos 1154 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 19 135 x 128 km
1 11682U 80008A 02308.84288089 .64028773 69631+1 48073-3 0 91510
2 11682 81.1676 318.8292 0005200 282.3569 77.5849 16.53049518794781
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27519 = 02- 42 E = DRTS rocket fairing 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 3 19:26 Nov 3 18:58 +-7m 2.0 S 158.0 E
SatEvo Nov 4 22:40 Nov 3 19:02 +-40m 4.1 N 168.1 E
Final elset:
DRTS r Fairng1 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 189 x 184 km
1 27519U 02042E 02307.67001498 .35130003 -48131-5 57277-2 0 1179
2 27519 30.4151 130.4297 0003541 123.9956 236.1174 16.32332130 8482
Note: The final elset was very slow to appear but allows my
re-estimate of the decay with reduced uncertainty. I now put the
decay near a northbound equator crossing over the western Pacific,
in good agreement with SCC's estimate. This comes at the end of the
the following SatEvo-predicted rev:
DRTS r Fairng1 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.5 v 10 170 x 167 km
1 27519U 02042E 02307.73100527 .66672624 34996+1 51778-2 0 91170
2 27519 30.4140 129.9533 0002727 124.7465 235.2792 16.39074782 8495
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Nov 05 2002 - 15:05:08 EST