SatEvo decay list #108 (issued 2000 November 18) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 January 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 17208 86- 19 BL Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb October 28.9 26585 95- 8 P Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26592 95- 8 U Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26593 95- 8 V Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26594 95- 8 W Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26595 95- 8 X Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26596 95- 8 Y Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26597 95- 8 Z Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 26598 95- 8 AA Cosmos 2306 deb October 29 22384 92- 93 BZ Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb October 30.1 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October 30.47 26438 99- 57 KK CBERS LM4 deb October 31.4 26572 98- 67 E ISS deb November 1.2 24258 94- 29 MH STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 2.9 26167 99- 57 BD CBERS LM4 deb November 3.9 Note 1 15781 80- 30 AX Cosmos 1174 deb November 4.5 26431 99- 57 KC CBERS LM4 deb November 5.5 25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r November 6.64 5077 70- 89 AQ Cosmos 374 deb November 7.1 23635 95- 39 D Interbol 1 r2 November 7.21 16311 79- 17 CA Solwind deb November 7.4 26206 99- 57 CU CBERS LM4 deb November 8.5 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November 9.70 26340 99- 57 HZ CBERS LM4 deb November 9.7 26274 99- 57 FL CBERS LM4 deb November 9.8 8979 75- 4 BM Landsat 4 Delta 1 deb November 10.5 20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 November 10.96 2167 66- 34 B OV 3-1 r November 13.47 20896 90- 81 BG FY-1B CZ deb November 13.6 26170 99- 57 BG CBERS LM4 deb November 13.7 Note 1 24116 94- 29 FP STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 14.7 3492 65- 82 QN OV2-1/LCS2 deb November 15? Note 1 21802 91- 62 H Solar A r deb November 16.1 18963 63- 14 DP Westford Needles deb November 17? Note 1 26616 00- 73 B Progress M1-4 Soyuz-U r November 17.80 17726 71- 15 DD Cosmos 397 deb November 23 23824 96- 10 E Raduga 33 aux motor November 23 24117 94- 29 FQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 23 4625 70- 91 E Cosmos 375 deb November 24 26455 99- 57 LA CBERS LM4 deb November 26 22373 92- 93 BN C 2227 Zenit deb November 28 24164 94- 29 HP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 December 3 8577 70- 89 AQ Cosmos 374 deb December 6 19830 78-100 AN C 1045 SL-14 deb December 6 10212 77- 65 AR GMS 1 Delta deb December 7 26171 99- 57 BH CBERS LM4 deb December 7 26164 99- 57 BA CBERS LM4 deb December 8 26417 99- 57 JN CBERS LM4 deb December 8? Note 2 26190 99- 57 CC CBERS LM4 deb December 9 22380 92- 93 BV C 2227 Zenit deb December 10 24743 97- 9 B Intelsat 801 Ariane r December 10 21334 75- 52 BC Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb December 11 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 12 17628 81- 53 LA Cosmos 1275 deb December 13 25422 98- 46 K Orbcomm 13 Peg r2 December 13 16480 79- 17 FE Solwind deb December 16 18719 87-109 E Ekran 17 aux motor December 17 23976 94- 29 W STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 19 4618 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb December 20 23982 94- 29 AC STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 20 26433 99- 57 KE CBERS LM4 deb December 21? Note 2 24140 94- 29 GP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22 24089 94- 29 EL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23 24181 94- 29 JG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23 24458 94- 29 TF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 23 15538 71- 15 CV Cosmos 397 deb December 25 22067 92- 47 H C 2204 Proton r2 December 25 4392 70- 34 B Mao 1 CZ-1 r December 26 26051 93- 9 D OXP 1 Pegasus deb December 26 4584 70- 85 B Meteor 1-6 r December 28 22925 93- 72 E Gorizont 29 aux mot December 28 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December 29 2001 24745 97- 10 B Zeya r January 1 23854 96- 25 B Cosmos 2332 r January 4 16110 85- 90 A Cosmos 1689 January 9 22659 93- 32 C GPS 2-20 r2 January 9 14520 83-114 D Molniya 1-59 r2 January 10 24154 94- 29 HD STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 10 26606 00- 71 B Navstar 49 Delta 2 r January 27 16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 February 20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor February 22521 93- 11 A Astro D February 23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 February 23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 February 15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor March 22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r March 25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March 26062 00- 4 B OCS March 5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r April 25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 April 11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May Notes 1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay. 2. No recent elsets. Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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