2000-070B (#26604) SOYUZ RB
SPACECOM's FINAL REPORT - prepared Nov 1, 14:58 UTC - gave the decay on
1 November, 14:01 UTC +/- 22 minutes (35.8°S, 125.2°E)
on a descending pass over the Great Australian Bight.
Alan Pickup showed the decay significantly later:
1 November, 14:33 UTC +/- 40 minutes (10.4°N, 269.8°E)
on a northbound pass S of Guatemala.
My unpublished prediction with the last ELSET 00306.396.. delivered also
a later decay shortly after 14:30 UTC.
Now SPACECOM has today released a "final" ELSET : 00306.543..... I have done a
very careful analysis based on all published ELSETs step by step with the
actual Solar Flux and Geomagnetic Ap - Data ect. The result with MPM and
REENTRY is interesting:
1 November, 14:31:40 UTC +/- 45 seconds
(01.95°N +/- 0.5°, 263.30°E +/- 0.8°) Altitude: 50.0 km
on a northbound pass over the Pacific in good agreement with Alan's conclusion.
Don't overestimate the precision of the data. They reflects primarily the
internal accuracy.
Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Nov 02 2000 - 11:42:17 PST