Re: UNID 21-07-2020

From: Leo Barhorst via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org>
Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 11:35:47 +0200
Further analyses by Mike and Ted led to the conclusion that my UNID was
also not 28495 but 43673,
This object, 18 084C H-2A deb, had very consistent TLEs until day 194.

Mike wrote:
Assuming that some kind of "event" happened on day 194, a fit
to your observations gives:

H-2A DEB
1 43673U 18084C   20203.96031057 0.00000495  00000-0  53899-4 0    01
2 43673  97.8754 319.0534 0016384  18.2544 341.7455 14.87988132    06

An hour later Space-Track had a message:
The 18th Space Control Squadron confirmed the breakup of H-2A DEB
(Satellite Catalogue # 43673, 2018-084C). 18 SPCS data indicates the
breakup likely occurred on July 12, 2020, between 0700 and 1000 UTC. 18
SPCS is actively tracking 51 pieces from the event, which are being
incorporated into routine conjunction assessment screenings to support
spaceflight safety.

Ted responded:
That's great, Mike. Been a while since our group detected a break-up before
it was announced. Nice inaugural obs for Leo
from his new home.

So the correct obs report will be:
43673 18 084C   0796 E 20200721231707236 17 25 0056565+344406 37 F
43673 18 084C   0796 E 20200721231712240 17 25 0103294+363214 37 S
43673 18 084C   0796 E 20200721231716482 17 25 0109302+380088 37 F
43673 18 084C   0796 E 20200721231722478 17 25 0118153+400596 37 S

Thank you Mike and Ted.

Regards
Leo
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Received on Fri Jul 24 2020 - 04:36:51 UTC

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