I have updated my Decay Watch page with the final notices for Cosmos
1184 and the Cosmos 2388 rocket, and the first one for Kolibri. Here is
a summary.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11821 = 80- 44 A = Cosmos 1184
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 29 01:26 Apr 29 00:14 +-7m 79.3 N 178.4 W
SatEvo Apr 29 19:25 Apr 28 23:55 +-30m 3.4 S 128.3 E
Final elset:
Cosmos 1184 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 12 149 x 136 km
1 11821U 80044A 02118.87621702 .29214579 -95678-6 39508-3 0 4112
2 11821 81.1380 344.5506 0010116 261.0330 98.9839 16.48800255200857
Note: The final elset has this running 3 sec late against yesterday's
prediction. I show this decaying over Indonesia near the northbound
equator crossing at the end of the following SatEvo-predicted rev:
Cosmos 1184 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 12 128 x 120 km
1 11821U 80044A 02118.93677065 .79120941 99678+1 40933-3 0 94116
2 11821 81.1359 344.4642 0006179 260.7859 99.1442 16.55714791200860
There was a pass across the eastern part of Western Australia from
23:48 UTC to 23:53.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27394 = 01- 51 C = Kolibri
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 29 15:49 May 2 23:49 +-2d 42.4 S 11.2 E
SatEvo Apr 29 20:00 May 3 10:03 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Kolibri 275 x 257 km
1 27394U 01051C 02119.53532895 .01820025 22175-2 29526-2 0 900
2 27394 51.6252 292.6375 0013228 294.3321 65.5956 16.03094774 6409
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 30 deg S in the
evening. Eclipse exit occurs northbound near the equator before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27410 = 02- 17 B = Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 29 09:16 Apr 29 08:51 +-7m 33.0 N 176.0 E
SatEvo Apr 29 19:40 Apr 29 08:53 +-60m 28.8 N 178.8 E
Final elset:
Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r 171 x 144 km
1 27410U 02017B 02119.16356093 .14862103 87504-5 41815-3 0 852
2 27410 62.8018 6.3199 0020565 120.6478 239.7476 16.43175572 4323
Note: The final elset shows this running 13 sec early against
yesterday's prediction. Like SpaceCom, I have this decaying southbound
over the North Pacific Ocean. My predicted elset for the start of the
final rev is:
Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r 123 x 114 km
1 27410U 02017B 02119.34548114 1.29981691 33489+2 47330-3 0 90856
2 27410 62.7975 5.5535 0007070 120.6853 239.3844 16.57861846 4351
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Apr 29 2002 - 16:13:07 EDT