SpaceCom has posted the first decay notices for Cosmos 1184 and the
Cosmos 2388 rocket. The following, which also includes my prediction for
Starshine 2, is taken from my updated Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11821 = 80- 44 A = Cosmos 1184
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 25 04:14 Apr 29 02:56 +-2d 13.0 M 86.3 E
SatEvo Apr 25 18:40 Apr 28 16:57 +-1.1d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1184 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 12 231 x 223 km
1 11821U 80044A 02114.93918257 .01667885 -92396-6 10786-2 0 3884
2 11821 81.1509 349.9612 0005867 211.3276 148.7663 16.17358701200210
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: Eclipse entry occurs while southbound near 44 deg N in the
evening. It leaves eclipse northbound near 78 deg S before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26996 = 01- 54 B = Starshine 2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 24 12:48 Apr 26 13:11 +-1d 50.9 S 134.9 E
SatEvo Apr 25 19:00 Apr 26 10:30 +-6h 20.9 S 98.7 W
Latest elset:
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 179 x 173 km
1 26996U 01054B 02115.53011521 .04101779 00000-0 45907-3 0 2180
2 26996 51.6125 295.6500 0004079 244.0539 115.9970 16.36243835 20575
SatEvo prediction:
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 169 x 164 km
1 26996U 01054B 02115.83515047 .06572694 29444-1 49413-3 0 92184
2 26996 51.6116 293.9300 0003534 245.3392 114.6240 16.39688630 20621
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 161 x 157 km
1 26996U 01054B 02116.01783512 .08841200 57765-1 46862-3 0 92185
2 26996 51.6108 292.8953 0003107 246.1124 113.8550 16.42457268 20655
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 145 x 142 km
1 26996U 01054B 02116.26080743 .19041006 36657+0 28961-3 0 92181
2 26996 51.6090 291.5111 0002215 247.1470 112.8296 16.48515551 20697
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 137 x 135 km
1 26996U 01054B 02116.32137676 .29388610 10478+1 27082-3 0 92189
2 26996 51.6082 291.1638 0001821 247.4066 112.5741 16.51345265 20705
Starshine 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.5 121 x 120 km
1 26996U 01054B 02116.38180424 .97573497 21877+2 37436-3 0 92188
2 26996 51.6067 290.8152 0001077 247.6671 112.3214 16.57187021 20716
Note: The latest elset shows this running only 0.7 sec early against
yesterday's prediction. I predict that this will decay while northbound
over the SE Pacific near the end of the final SatEvo predicted orbit
above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27410 = 02- 17 B = Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 25 08:40 Apr 29 06:14 +-2d 29.9 S 106.4 W
SatEvo Apr 25 18:30 Apr 29 05:52 +-1.3d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2388 Molniya-M r 304 x 191 km
1 27410U 02017B 02115.33878024 .01955001 82386-5 11595-2 0 603
2 27410 62.8131 21.8081 0085446 117.8917 243.0971 16.09898285 3700
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 48 deg N in the
evening and leaves eclipse near southern apex at 63 deg S.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 25 2002 - 15:45:36 EDT