Report time 20:00 UTC
2002-017C (#27411) MOLNIYA RB - PLATFORM aka BOZ
SPACECOM'S 12 HOURS BEFORE DECAY message - issued April 18,
08:12 UTC - predicted the decay on
18 April,20:29 UTC +/- 08 hours (25.0°N, 59.4°E)
on a southbound pass over the Arabian Sea.
MPM+REENTRY deliver with ELSETs 02108.336.... + 02108.459...
(SFX 190, ap 027) the decay
18 April, 20:28 UTC +/- 27 minutes (26.00°N, 58.90°E)
also descending over the Arabian Sea near the coast line.
But later we saw two ELSETs 02108.703... and 02108.763...
with large increases of the eccentricity and a dramatic
shift of the argument of perigee. Are they really describing
#27411 ? It is possible that we had a breakup of the Platform
around 16:08 UTC und SPACECOM is tracking a fragment?
Based on the last two ELSETs - they are also not very
compatible - I estimate a decay of my "fragment" on
19:36 UTC +/- 05 minutes over the South Pacific. But let
us wait and see....
Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 18 2002 - 16:39:04 EDT