In the past few hours, SpaceCom has posted its initial decay warnings
for three objects, including one of the Raduga 1-6 aux motors that I had
overlooked in my recent SatEvo decay list. Check my decay Watch page for
predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25987 = 99- 65 H = Orbcomm 30 Pegasus r1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 15 18:31 Apr 19 18:31 +-3d 20.9 N 144.1 E
SatEvo Apr 15 19:40 Apr 19 20:10 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
Orb 30 Peg r1 1.3 1.0 0.0 7.5 d 1.1 271 x 225 km
1 25987U 99065H 02105.18630172 .01546863 16681-2 15015-2 0 7018
2 25987 44.9756 139.8920 0035232 39.7834 320.5654 16.09655876131664
Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 6 deg S in the evening
and leaves eclipse southbound near 36 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26941 = 01- 45 F = Raduga 1-6 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 15 15:49 Apr 19 16:01 +-2d 35.5 N 118.7 W
SatEvo Apr 15 19:55 Apr 19 21:33 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
Raduga 1-6 aux motor 6197 x 102 km
1 26941U 01045F 02105.58777445 .32421173 15276-4 19853-2 0 2075
2 26941 46.8737 202.9884 3198159 70.1965 321.3529 9.33594332 5973
Note: This is not far from its very low perigee when it leaves
eclipse near 45 deg N before dawn. It is much higher (3,000+ km)
when it enters eclipse while northbound near 32 deg S in the
evening. The prediction is very uncertain.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27411 = 02- 17 C = Cosmos 2388 casing (aka Platform)
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 15 17:45 Apr 19 12:46 +-2d 13.3 N 178.3 E
SatEvo Apr 15 20:10 Apr 19 15:26 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 2388 casing 344 x 176 km
1 27411U 02017C 02105.67356808 .02365734 81084-5 10965-2 0 356
2 27411 62.8513 58.7868 0126606 116.2376 245.1802 16.05140098 2188
Note: Eclipse entry occurs just after northern apex at 62 deg N at
about 21:00 local time, with eclipse exit southbound near 53 deg S
at 05:00 local time.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Apr 15 2002 - 16:24:04 EDT