If you live on or near the east coast of South Africa, are able to see to 10 deg elevation to your west, and happen to be awake tonight at 01:17 UTC (Sep 8), then it might be worth a look in case 15030B / 40702 decides to re-enter at that time. Recent USSTRATCOM TIP messages indicate that this is a possibility, though of course, far from a sure thing. It probably won't happen for you, but it's less improbable than usual. I have appended an ephemeris for Cape Town, derived by forcing the latest TLE to propagate to re-entry altitude at the time in question. 1 70000U 15251.05347222 .00000000 00000-0 00000-0 0 09 2 70000 97.2090 14.9701 0014332 78.6279 246.7120 16.75000000 01 Ted Molczan 8/ 9/15 00:00 - 24:00 UTC J2000.0 EL > 0 Cape Town S. Africa 15030B 15030B 40702 Bull = 0 SGP4 Age = -0.0 d Unc = 0 s ( 50%) Src = 0 TIME %I Mv? AZ EL R.A. DEC FE VANG RANGE ALT -------- -- ---- --- -- -------- --------- ---- ---- ----- ----- 01:14:53 UMBRA 190 0 14:42:12 -55:00:20 8.2 0.16 1091 96 01:15:18 UMBRA 194 2 15:19:00 -55:09:37 8.4 0.23 915 95 01:15:36 UMBRA 199 3 15:54:10 -54:24:16 8.5 0.30 795 95 01:15:49 UMBRA 204 4 16:24:41 -53:01:50 8.5 0.38 712 94 01:16:00 UMBRA 209 5 16:53:39 -51:02:11 8.6 0.46 647 94 01:16:09 UMBRA 213 6 17:19:03 -48:38:20 8.6 0.54 597 93 01:16:16 UMBRA 217 7 17:39:28 -46:11:14 8.7 0.61 562 93 01:16:23 UMBRA 222 8 18:00:07 -43:08:42 8.7 0.69 530 93 01:16:29 UMBRA 227 8 18:17:44 -40:01:37 8.7 0.76 506 93 01:16:34 UMBRA 231 9 18:32:11 -37:03:26 8.8 0.82 488 92 01:16:39 UMBRA 235 9 18:46:18 -33:45:16 8.8 0.88 473 92 01:16:44 UMBRA 240 9 18:59:59 -30:08:24 8.9 0.93 461 92 01:16:48 UMBRA 244 10 19:10:34 -27:02:57 8.9 0.96 453 92 01:16:52 UMBRA 248 10 19:20:47 -23:48:38 8.9 0.99 448 92 01:16:56 UMBRA 252 10 19:30:37 -20:27:28 8.9 1.00 445 92 01:17:00 UMBRA 256 10 19:40:03 -17:01:45 9.0 1.01 444 91 01:17:04 UMBRA 260 10 19:49:05 -13:33:57 9.0 1.01 445 91 01:17:08 UMBRA 264 10 19:57:41 -10:06:33 9.0 1.00 448 91 01:17:12 UMBRA 268 10 20:05:53 -06:41:51 9.1 0.98 454 91 01:17:16 UMBRA 272 9 20:13:40 -03:21:59 9.1 0.95 462 91 01:17:20 UMBRA 276 9 20:21:03 -00:08:38 9.1 0.91 471 91 01:17:24 UMBRA 280 9 20:28:03 02:56:50 9.2 0.87 483 90 01:17:29 UMBRA 284 8 20:36:17 06:36:11 9.2 0.82 500 90 01:17:34 UMBRA 288 8 20:43:59 10:00:42 9.2 0.76 519 90 01:17:39 UMBRA 291 7 20:51:09 13:10:05 9.3 0.71 540 90 01:17:45 UMBRA 295 7 20:59:07 16:37:46 9.3 0.64 569 90 01:17:51 UMBRA 299 6 21:06:26 19:45:13 9.3 0.58 599 89 01:17:58 UMBRA 302 5 21:14:14 23:00:30 9.3 0.52 638 89 01:18:06 UMBRA 306 5 21:22:17 26:16:21 9.4 0.45 684 89 01:18:15 UMBRA 310 4 21:30:20 29:26:53 9.4 0.39 739 89 01:18:25 UMBRA 313 3 21:38:12 32:27:56 9.5 0.34 804 88 01:18:37 UMBRA 316 2 21:46:23 35:31:08 9.5 0.28 884 88 01:18:51 UMBRA 319 1 21:54:27 38:28:34 9.6 0.23 980 87 01:19:08 UMBRA 323 0 22:02:30 41:25:04 9.6 0.19 1101 87 _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-lReceived on Mon Sep 07 2015 - 15:12:34 UTC
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