Updated elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Sun Sep 16 2012 - 21:02:19 UTC

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    Alberto Rango observed ORS 1 overnight. Below is a fit based on the mean mean-motion that I derived recently, which is
    intended to reflect the frequent manoeuvres that maintain the orbit against drag. If my mean mean-motion is accurate,
    the object can be expected to be well within about +/- 1 min of the predicted time, even after several weeks without
    observations.
    
    ORS 1                                                    417 X 419 km
    1 37728U 11029A   12260.11336101  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    00
    2 37728  40.0000 290.4467 0002000  26.4967 333.5945 15.50381280    06
    
    Marco Langbroek's observation of USA 237 overnight indicates that it may finally have reached its initial operational
    location. It was near 47.8 E. Below are approximate elements.
    
    USA 237                                              35624 X 35952 km
    1 38528U 12034A   12259.71058215  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    07
    2 38528   3.4072 299.2146 0038852 311.9498  47.4799  1.00270183    00
    
    Bram Dorreman, Kevin Fetter, Marco Langbroek, Alberto Rango and Scott Tilley have reported new observations of objects
    from the NROL-36 NOSS launch. I reduced the following data from Kevin's video:
    
    79603 12 048P   1775 G 20120916081231486 36 25 0522577-083104 37 I+080 05
    38758 12 048A   1775 G 20120916081242130 36 25 0522539-082862 37 S+070 05
    
    NOSS 3-6 (A)                                           1008 X 1205 km
    1 38758U 12048A   12260.33412578  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    03
    2 38758  63.4557  35.5648 0131425 177.3073 182.8689 13.40430902    06
    Arc 20120914.4-0916.34 WRMS resid 0.025 totl 0.011 xtrk
    
    NOSS 3-6 (P)                                           1012 X 1201 km
    1 79603U 12048P   12260.33400903  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    06
    2 79603  63.4309  35.5367 0125986 180.3199 179.7766 13.40498871    01
    Arc 20120915.52-0916.34 WRMS resid 0.006 totl 0.004 xtrk
    
    The unusually high decay term of the Centaur is confirmed, which together with the fairly rapid rotation reported by
    Bram and Marco points to outgassing of propellants as the probable cause. The second elset below, based on the most
    recent 24 h of observations, indicates that the decay term was already rapidly decreasing, as expected.
    
    NOSS 3-6 r                                               459 X 774 km
    1 38770U 12048N   12260.17472514  .00067512  00000-0  51642-2 0    06
    2 38770  64.6863  33.6686 0225138 294.1640  63.6076 14.83680023    02
    Arc 20120914.36-0916.19 WRMS resid 0.040 totl 0.019 xtrk
    
    NOSS 3-6 r                                               459 X 774 km
    1 38770U 12048N   12260.51175411  .00008729  00000-0  66757-3 0    09
    2 38770  64.6807  32.6175 0225427 294.2763  63.4944 14.83645033    04
    Arc 20120915.51-0916.52 WRMS resid 0.021 totl 0.012 xtrk
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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