UARS: evolution of predicted decay v15b

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Sat Sep 24 2011 - 03:24:32 UTC

  • Next message: Ed Cannon: "re: UARS seen"

    Satevo propagates USSTRATCOM's epoch 11267.1090420 TLE to decay on Sep 24 at 05:45 UTC, considerably later than recent
    predictions, but uncertainty is high. 
    
    Computing the trend using all of today's predictions made during Sep 23 16:25 - Sep 04 02:37 UTC, results in decay on
    Sep 24 at 04:40 UTC.
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat_ref/misc/UARS_decay_predictions_v15b.pdf
    
    It remains worth watching for possible decay on the North American pass that begins ~04:15 UTC.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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