-----Original Message----- From: Derek C Breit [mailto:breit_ideas@poyntsource.com] Sent: Thursday, September 22, 2011 7:07 PM To: 'Ted Molczan'; 'seesat-l@satobs.org' Subject: RE: UARS Reentry moving later Actually it doesn't.. hit refresh and it shows it decaying over the Western Pacific North of Australia now... Descending.. Worse it doesn't show any of the later tracks coming close to the USA.. What I am looking at is attached for you Ted.. I vastly preferred the tracks you describe, but they went POOF! Tell me it is an error on my satellite modem or my computer.. Pease.. Mind you Heavensat still shows very similar paths to what I was watching using the newest elset.. Same as listed in the graphic.. 19:55 9/22 Either way.. Whether it has already happened or will in the near future, it will at some point be beyond my ability to follow along. I am prepared to video either shortly before 8 PDT low in the East, or even a later pass in the West and / or alert many in North America so they can do it.. "Y'all just handle your business and let me know what I might need to know." I'll just step outside and hunt for AEHF.. :-)) Derek PS.. Just hit refresh again and the "Good" graphic is now back.. Definitely time for me to go observe some sats.. Still attaching what I captured from my screen moments ago as proof I am not crazy.. -----Original Message----- From: seesat-l-bounces+breit_ideas=poyntsource.com@satobs.org [mailto:seesat-l-bounces+breit_ideas=poyntsource.com@satobs.org] On Behalf Of Ted Molczan Sent: Thursday, September 22, 2011 6:48 PM To: seesat-l@satobs.org Subject: RE: UARS Reentry moving later Derek Breit wrote: > The update here.. > http://reentrynews.aero.org/1991063b.html > > now shows zero chance for the USA.. > > 24 SEP 2011 @ 00:58 UTC ± 7 hours You have misunderstood the report. The ground track shows it decaying at the above time, over the South Pacific, on a track moving toward Mexico, the South Central U.S.A, the North East of the U.S.A and Canada, across the Atlantic, then over the U.K. and Central Europe. So, it need only survive a bit longer, to given millions of folks a definite slim chance at seeing it. But keep in mind that the stated uncertainty is +/- 7 hours. Ted Molczan _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l
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