The increase of solar activity over the last 3 days
(SFX/Ap): 124/0327, 129/017 and 143/004 have shifted
the decay significantly. All forecasters - Space Track,
NASA and myself see now the reentry on September 24.
The windows are different.
NASA : 24 September +/- 01 days
SPACE TRACK: 24 September, 01:59 UT +/- 144 hours (!)
descending over 2°, 52.2°E
H.Zimmer 24 September, 18:40 UT +/- 30 hours
For the next three days we expect also a relativily
high SFX - about 145 - so the early 24 September seems
realistic
BTW: Any new observations of the flash period available?
Harro
Harro Zimmer, Berlin (Germany)
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