UARS

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Thu Sep 15 2011 - 19:16:00 UTC

  • Next message: alberto rango: "4542 PPAS 31 AUG 2011."

    The increase of solar activity over the last 3 days
    (SFX/Ap): 124/0327, 129/017 and 143/004 have shifted
    the decay significantly. All forecasters - Space Track, 
    NASA and myself see now the reentry on  September 24. 
    The windows are different. 
    
    NASA :       24 September +/- 01 days
    
    SPACE TRACK: 24 September, 01:59 UT +/- 144 hours (!)
                 descending over 2°, 52.2°E
    
    H.Zimmer     24 September, 18:40 UT +/- 30 hours
    
    For the next three days we expect also a relativily
    high SFX - about 145 - so the early 24 September seems
    realistic
    
    BTW: Any new observations of the flash period available?
    
    
    Harro
    
    Harro Zimmer, Berlin (Germany)
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