USA 161 search elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Thu Sep 08 2011 - 04:35:51 UTC

  • Next message: Scott Tilley: "ST Obs Sept 7th"

    Björn Gimle observed what is likely USA 161 (01044A / 26934), on 2011 Sep 07 near 22:28 UTC:
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat/Sep-2011/0068.html
    
    It was running ~28 min late, but close to the track predicted by my latest search elset, which was a good fit to Russell
    Eberst's observations on Sep 03 near 23:34 UTC, and Scott Tilley's of Sep 06 near 07:08 UTC:
    
                                                             422 X 897 km
    1 70021U          11249.28447509  .00000145  00000-0  10000-4 0    04
    2 70021  98.0484   3.6840 0337237 180.6490 179.4327 14.69611075    02
    
    That search elset replaced the ones I posted Sep 05, which were based on my now disproved hypothesis that the final
    result of the manoeuvres would be a circular orbit of mean motion near 14.51 rev/d:
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat/Sep-2011/0046.html
    
    It now appears that the main purpose of the manoeuvres is to considerably rotate the line of apsides.
    
    The object was a no-show for Scott Tilley early on Sep 07 UTC in the 70021 orbit, which suggests that it had already
    manoeuvred.
    
    The following search elements are based on manoeuvre on Sep 06 near 09:14, 12:28 and 19:02 respectively:
    
                                                            410 X 1023 km
    1 70022U          11250.93788566  .00000142  00000-0  10000-4 0    07
    2 70022  97.9745   4.9186 0431962 158.3280 203.6832 14.51872514    06
    
                                                            410 X 1034 km
    1 70023U          11250.93788950  .00000140  00000-0  10000-4 0    03
    2 70023  97.9745   4.8997 0439195 156.6940 205.4857 14.50227741    08
    
                                                            410 X 1063 km
    1 70024U          11250.93779985  .00000137  00000-0  10000-4 0    08
    2 70024  97.9745   4.9956 0458979 157.3760 204.8401 14.45732322    02
    
    I doubt it would have manoeuvred much earlier or later, so the above should be useful in bracketing searches, until it
    manoeuvres again.
    
    They indicate a further rotation of the line apsides, in addition to raising the apogee, but the elements are
    approximate, so be prepared for track errors of at least 1 deg, depending on elevation.
    
    Happy hunting!
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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