Updated AEHF 1 elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl3molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Sat Sep 11 2010 - 12:43:21 UTC

  • Next message: Tim Luton: "TML obs of 2010 Sept 11 UTC Part II"

    Scott Campbell, Mike McCants and Greg Roberts managed to observe AEHF 1 (10039A / 36868), despite
    its apparently having made large manoeuvres. It is a difficult object due to its slow rotation, with
    often faint minima, so they did very well to find it and keep track of it long enough to generate a
    large number of points.
    
    The following fits, but the arc was only about one quarter of a rev, and it may have manoeuvred
    during the arc, so beware!
    
    AEHF 1                                                2706 X 50910 km
    1 70007U          10253.94087283  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    09
    2 70007  18.2299 302.9750 7262729 192.0275 129.4464  1.43626704    07
    Arc 20100910.91-0911.29 WRMS resid 0.023 totl 0.018 xtrk
    
    Here is a different solution, which results from fitting an orbit to Greg's obs, then assuming it
    manoeuvred near the subsequent apogee, which was before Mike and Scott's obs, then fitting an orbit
    to that:
    
                                                          2940 X 52003 km
    1 70008U          10254.65190214  .00000000  00000-0  00000-0 0    08
    2 70008  18.1972 302.9083 7247205 191.2318 132.7283  1.39425641    03
    
    When the arc is so short, it is easy to generate pretty outlandish results, so I do not have great
    confidence in either of the above. Probably best to use 70007, and be prepared for it to be quite a
    bit early or late.
    
    Unfortunately, I have run out of time for analysis.
    
    Happy hunting!
    Ted Molczan
    
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