YES2 search elements

From: Ted Molczan (ssl2molcz@rogers.com)
Date: Thu Sep 27 2007 - 11:32:00 EDT

  • Next message: John Locker: "Re: YES2 search elements"

    I concocted the following search elements based upon the sketchy information
    available:
    
    - an Itar-Tass news report that the tether was cut on 2007 Sep 25, about 11:20
    Moscow Time.
    
    - a YES2 report that re-entry "is to be expected in 4-11 days":
    
    http://www.yes2.info/node/128
    
    These elements do not take into account any orbital dynamics related to the
    severing of the tether.
    
    4 day decay
    1 70000U          07268.30600000  .01600000  00000-0  26322-2 0    06
    2 70000  62.9000 148.4000 0020000  52.0000 259.0000 16.02300000    00
    
    11 day decay
    1 70000U          07268.30600001  .00600000  00000-0  98706-3 0    02
    2 70000  62.9000 148.4000 0020000  52.0000 259.0000 16.02300000    00
    
    I suggest bracketing searches between the times/tracks predicted by the above,
    but it would not hurt to extend somewhat before and after.
    
    I believe that there is a definite slim chance that the above are sufficiently
    accurate to locate the object.
    
    Happy hunting!
    Ted Molczan
    
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