Re: iss boost?

From: Dinogeorge@aol.com
Date: Mon Sep 19 2005 - 16:37:46 EDT

  • Next message: Frits Westra: "Unid fast flasher"

    In a message dated 9/19/2005 12:51:22 P.M. Pacific Standard Time,  
    seesat@rogers.com writes:
    
    >>According to my calculations, the reboost on Sep 15 was too  small to 
    account for
    your having missed the object. I used elsets as old as 6  days and as recent 
    as a
    few hours, and obtained substantially the same  prediction as Heavens-Above.
    
    >>A few seconds before 20:15 PDT, it  passed near the end-star of the handle 
    of the
    Big Dipper. This was about 29  deg above the NW horizon. A little over one 
    minute
    later is passed near Vega,  about 81 deg above the western horizon. If you 
    kept
    your eye moving back and  forth along the path between those stars, during 
    this
    period, you should  easily have spotted ISS.
    
    >>We will probably never be able to  determine precisely why you did not see 
    it,
    but there may be clues in this  comment you made in an earlier post:
    
    <<<< I began watching  shortly before 8 pm Sunday night, eyes glued to the 
    NW, 
    11x80 binoculars  strapped around my neck. When my watch said 8:15 and no 
    sign of
    
    the ISS I  began to wonder what was going on. I did spot a few airliners and 
    a  helicopter during my little vigil, and to amuse myself scanned the moon's  
    face as it slowly climbed upward from the horizon.  >>>>
    
    >>Sounds like after waiting 15 min for the big  event, you became a bit antsy 
    when
    the object did not appear at 8:15 PM PDT,  as predicted. This may have 
    adversely
    affected your concentration, even  caused you too take your eyes off the
    predicted path - just long enough to  miss it. Remember, it covers a lot of 
    sky
    in even 30 s.
    
    >>If, as  many folks do, you allow your wristwatch to run fast, by even 30 s, 
    then
    that  could have contributed to your feeling that the object was overdue,  
    causing
    you to turn away too soon and just long enough to miss  it.
    
    >>In any case, there will be many more good ISS passes, and I  wish you well
    observing them.<<
     
    Thanks for your comments. I could have missed it if it for those reasons if  
    it were magnitude +2, but surely not if it were magnitude -1. The sky in San  
    Diego is pretty bright, especially with a nearly full moon rising and a thin  
    nocturnal haze forming, and stars of magnitude +2 and fainter tend to wash  
    out. But I could see Vega quite clearly, and -1 is considerably brighter than  
    Vega. Also, my wife was out with me, and her eyes are better than mine. She  
    could have spotted it even if I couldn't.
     
    The first satellite I ever saw was the Sputnik 1 rocket body (or was it  
    Sputnik 2?), which passed over Buffalo NY when I was a kid back in 1957, and it  
    was no problem. The Buffalo Evening News posted schedules for the novel  
    astronomical event, and everyone in the neighborhood was out to see it. It  helped 
    that it was tumbling, of course, which made it grow fainter and brighter  every 
    few seconds. It wasn't terribly bright, and as I recall that evening the  
    skies had scattered clouds, but it was quite visible passing between them.  Echo 
    1 also passed over Buffalo a few years later, and it was brighter than  
    Venus--absolutely trivial to see it. And I remember seeing Echo 2 pass over  
    Buffalo, watching it fade into its sunset and wink out, but I don't recall the  date. 
    Must have been early 1960s when I was in high school.
     
    I did start to get antsy last night, but only about ten minutes after Show  
    Time, when I began to wonder where it was. Before that I was glued to the NW  
    sky--I can't see how anything about as bright as an airliner could have escaped 
     me (but I guess it somehow did!). Typically my watch is about two minutes 
    slow  (it's an old windup watch that I reset each day), and I allowed for that  
    during my vigil. I had a whole minute to a minute and a half to catch it, and  
    although I'm getting slower these days, I don't think my eyeblinks last a 
    whole  minute(!).
     
    I had my binoculars, but I was not scanning the sky with them, just my  
    unaided eyesight, such as it is. I can't imagine both my wife and me being  
    distracted long enough to miss a bright, moving object. This is no meteor,  which if 
    you look away for a tenth of a second you miss it. One of life's little  
    mysteries, I guess. Heck, I've seen Uranus and Neptune with my binoculars, also  
    Ceres and a number of comets (you have to follow most of these over a period of  
    a few days, to be sure you have indeed seen them). I should have  been able 
    to see the ISS no sweat, unless it was quite a bit fainter  than advertised.
     
    
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