Updated predictions from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #15909 = 85- 61 A = Molniya 3-25
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Sep 15 21:12 Sep 18 17:03 +-2d 34.8 S 170.0 W
SatEvo Sep 16 20:20 Sep 19 16:27 +-1d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-25 5855 x 84 km
1 15909U 85061A 02259.62063157 .47167925 60192-5 11780-2 0 446
2 15909 62.2287 108.8513 3086563 265.3458 60.7917 9.60675007126923
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #18086 = 87- 48 D = Cosmos 1849 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Sep 15 17:16 Sep 19 14:02 +-2d 19.3 S 86.5 E
SatEvo Sep 16 20:15 Sep 19 22:41 +-1d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1849 r 1784 x 107 km
1 18086U 87048D 02259.78518519 .19853837 13558-4 62033-3 0 9876
2 18086 62.7748 113.5644 1144983 200.3449 186.2200 13.85359161120818
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27377 = 02- 5 F = Iridium 90 Delta 2 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Sep 16 16:58 Sep 16 22:27 +-3h 84.3 N 63.1 E
SatEvo Sep 15 20:00 Sep 17 01:06 +-10h 38.7 N 69.6 W
SatEvo Sep 16 20:30 Sep 17 22:09 +-70m 33.4 N 25.9 W
Latest elset:
Irid 90 Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 166 x 137 km
1 27377U 02005F 02259.73537486 .17848104 -15760-5 33946-3 0 3208
2 27377 84.3807 298.4705 0022172 254.6574 105.1934 16.45298002 33815
SatEvo prediction:
Irid 90 Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 157 x 132 km
1 27377U 02005F 02259.79614023 .26607126 58760+0 34739-3 0 93204
2 27377 84.3798 298.4158 0019161 254.3917 105.3968 16.48052615 33829
Irid 90 Del2 r 7.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 10 143 x 124 km
1 27377U 02005F 02259.85680166 .45714094 23064+1 35125-3 0 93206
2 27377 84.3784 298.3610 0014774 254.1251 105.7120 16.52191277 33838
Note: I show this decaying following the northbound equator crossing
at the end of the final SatEvo-predicted rev. This puts in northbound
over the eastern North Atlantic, to the S of the Azores.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Sep 16 2002 - 16:50:12 EDT