SatEvo decay list #38 (issued 1997 September 14) Here are my latest SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by November 1; other objects are included to November 30. Drag rates appear to have increased some 10 days ago, bringing a several objects to premature decays, and shifting the predicted decay dates forwards for many others. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ There you can also find current elements (updated every three hours or so) for all the still-to-decay objects below, plus other objects of interest, including Mir, Iridiums (until deployed) and recently launched/catalogued objects. # Designation Name ------- Decay ------- Predicted Actual? 24049 94- 29 CW STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 31 24922 97- 43 G Iridium deb August 31 20389 89-100 A Cosmos 2053 September 2.40 23983 94- 29 AD STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 2 22776 89- 89 AM COBE deb September 3 24485 94- 29 UJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 3 24253 94- 29 MC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 4 24923 97- 43 H Iridium deb September 4 24823 94- 29 ABV STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 5 24448 94- 29 SQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 6 24928 97- 48 D Long March 2 deb September 7.3 24929 97- 48 E Long March 2 deb September 7.8 24478 94- 29 UB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 9 24513 94- 29 VM STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 9 24882 97- 34 G Iridium deb September 10.5 24687 94- 29 AAV STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 12 23783 86- 17 JV Mir deb September 13.33 24951 97- 51 H Iridium Proton r September 14.47 24055 94- 29 DC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 16 22450 92- 93 EP SL-16 deb September 17 24564 94- 29 XQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 17 24623 94- 29 AAB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 18 22771 89- 89 AG COBE deb September 19 24015 94- 29 BL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 19 24044 94- 29 CR STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 20 24608 94- 29 ZL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 21 24924 97- 43 J Iridium deb September 22 24857 95- 28 G Cosmos 2313 deb September 24 Note 1 19052 63- 14 EB Westford Needles deb September 25? 24855 95- 28 E Cosmos 2313 deb September 25 24550 94- 29 XA STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 26 24884 97- 37 B OrbView 2 Pegasus r September 28 24909 97- 44 A Lewis September 28 23912 89- 17 LA Mir deb September 29 24450 94- 29 SS STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 4 23080 89- 89 CB COBE deb October 5 24621 94- 29 ZZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 5 24492 94- 29 UR STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 6 24930 97- 48 F Long March deb (r?) October 9 Note 2 24910 97- 44 B LMLV-1 October 19 24005 94- 29 BA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20 24335 94- 29 NL STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20 24690 94- 29 AAY STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20 23507 95- 8 C Cosmos 2306 deb October 21 24271 94- 29 MW STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21 24898 97- 34 J Iridium deb October 21 23551 83 75 BE Cosmos 1484 deb October 27 21863 92- 5 H SL-12 r (aux motor) October 30 22858 89- 89 AV COBE deb October 30 21274 75- 52 K Delta 1 deb November 6 24908 97- 43 F Iridium Delta 2 r November 7 23897 86- 17 KQ Mir debris November 13 16997 76- 77 EV Delta 1 deb November 17 24749 97- 11 B Tempo-1 Atlas 2A r November 18 23924 86- 17 LR Mir debris November 19 23691 86- 17 JN Mir debris November 20 24943 89- 17 MD Mir debris November 21 Note 1. Object #24857 = 95- 28 G (Cosmos 2313) was identified incorrectly as #24855 last time. 2. Observations show #24930 = 97- 48 F to be considerably brighter than #24927 = 97- 48 C, supposedly the Long March 2 rocket which launched two dummy Iridium masses on September 1. It may well be that "F" is the rocket. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/