SatEvo decay list #38
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 14 Sep 1997 16:41:28 +0100
SatEvo decay list #38 (issued 1997 September 14)
Here are my latest SatEvo decay analyses and predictions.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final
available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their
decay by November 1; other objects are included to November 30.
Drag rates appear to have increased some 10 days ago, bringing a
several objects to premature decays, and shifting the predicted
decay dates forwards for many others.
This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via
my SatEvo page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
There you can also find current elements (updated every three hours
or so) for all the still-to-decay objects below, plus other objects
of interest, including Mir, Iridiums (until deployed) and recently
launched/catalogued objects.
# Designation Name ------- Decay -------
Predicted Actual?
24049 94- 29 CW STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 31
24922 97- 43 G Iridium deb August 31
20389 89-100 A Cosmos 2053 September 2.40
23983 94- 29 AD STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 2
22776 89- 89 AM COBE deb September 3
24485 94- 29 UJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 3
24253 94- 29 MC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 4
24923 97- 43 H Iridium deb September 4
24823 94- 29 ABV STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 5
24448 94- 29 SQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 6
24928 97- 48 D Long March 2 deb September 7.3
24929 97- 48 E Long March 2 deb September 7.8
24478 94- 29 UB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 9
24513 94- 29 VM STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 9
24882 97- 34 G Iridium deb September 10.5
24687 94- 29 AAV STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 12
23783 86- 17 JV Mir deb September 13.33
24951 97- 51 H Iridium Proton r September 14.47
24055 94- 29 DC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 16
22450 92- 93 EP SL-16 deb September 17
24564 94- 29 XQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 17
24623 94- 29 AAB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 18
22771 89- 89 AG COBE deb September 19
24015 94- 29 BL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 19
24044 94- 29 CR STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 20
24608 94- 29 ZL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 21
24924 97- 43 J Iridium deb September 22
24857 95- 28 G Cosmos 2313 deb September 24 Note 1
19052 63- 14 EB Westford Needles deb September 25?
24855 95- 28 E Cosmos 2313 deb September 25
24550 94- 29 XA STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 26
24884 97- 37 B OrbView 2 Pegasus r September 28
24909 97- 44 A Lewis September 28
23912 89- 17 LA Mir deb September 29
24450 94- 29 SS STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 4
23080 89- 89 CB COBE deb October 5
24621 94- 29 ZZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 5
24492 94- 29 UR STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 6
24930 97- 48 F Long March deb (r?) October 9 Note 2
24910 97- 44 B LMLV-1 October 19
24005 94- 29 BA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20
24335 94- 29 NL STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20
24690 94- 29 AAY STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20
23507 95- 8 C Cosmos 2306 deb October 21
24271 94- 29 MW STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
24898 97- 34 J Iridium deb October 21
23551 83 75 BE Cosmos 1484 deb October 27
21863 92- 5 H SL-12 r (aux motor) October 30
22858 89- 89 AV COBE deb October 30
21274 75- 52 K Delta 1 deb November 6
24908 97- 43 F Iridium Delta 2 r November 7
23897 86- 17 KQ Mir debris November 13
16997 76- 77 EV Delta 1 deb November 17
24749 97- 11 B Tempo-1 Atlas 2A r November 18
23924 86- 17 LR Mir debris November 19
23691 86- 17 JN Mir debris November 20
24943 89- 17 MD Mir debris November 21
Note
1. Object #24857 = 95- 28 G (Cosmos 2313) was identified incorrectly
as #24855 last time.
2. Observations show #24930 = 97- 48 F to be considerably brighter
than #24927 = 97- 48 C, supposedly the Long March 2 rocket which
launched two dummy Iridium masses on September 1. It may well be
that "F" is the rocket.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/