Decay of Cosmos 2053

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 1 Sep 1997 22:06:23 +0100

Cosmos 2053 will decay at about September 2.25, according to my latest
SatEvo analysis of its published orbits ober the past 0.8 day.

The latest elset from OIG is:
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            168 x 156 km
1 20389U 89100A   97244.76340389  .04275780  22841-5  25267-3 0  7590
2 20389  73.4811 228.0869 0009389 245.5963 114.5538 16.41326543434773

My prediction through to decay runs...
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            162 x 155 km
1 20389U 89100A   97244.82428241  .07321521  45390-1  35458-3 0 97557
2 20389  73.4721 227.9287 0005478 242.1838 117.7606 16.42697160434783
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            160 x 153 km
1 20389U 89100A   97244.88516945  .08273457  59621-1  32658-3 0 97558
2 20389  73.4718 227.7703 0005072 242.0181 117.9305 16.43643983434794
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            156 x 150 km
1 20389U 89100A   97244.94601914  .09560375  82244-1  30190-3 0 97551
2 20389  73.4714 227.6118 0004630 241.8523 118.1009 16.44724852434807
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            153 x 147 km
1 20389U 89100A   97245.00682573  .11410594  12174+0  28093-3 0 97551
2 20389  73.4710 227.4531 0004142 241.6862 118.2720 16.45992486434815
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            148 x 144 km
1 20389U 89100A   97245.06758084  .14332101  20123+0  26476-3 0 97554
2 20389  73.4705 227.2943 0003588 241.5200 118.4438 16.47541285434820
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            142 x 139 km
1 20389U 89100A   97245.12827115  .19753305  40537+0  25677-3 0 97554
2 20389  73.4699 227.1352 0002933 241.3536 118.6169 16.49570730434831
Cosmos 2053      4.0  2.0  0.0  6.2 d            134 x 131 km
1 20389U 89100A   97245.18887088  .34093462  12990+1  27195-3 0 97553
2 20389  73.4690 226.9758 0002081 241.1869 118.7922 16.52661087434849

Updated elsets for this and other decaying objects are available via my
SatEvo WWW page (URL below).

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/