Expected decay of 38872

From: Robert Holdsworth (robbonz1@xtra.co.nz)
Date: Thu Oct 25 2012 - 14:02:20 UTC

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    The above object, being the rocket from the launch of the Soyuz mission to the ISS (incidentally docking has taken place around an hour and a half before I post this), was likely to decay or have decayed around or before now.  The Space-Track "final report" gives some room for flexibility!
    We had an expected non-illuminated pass around 30 minutes ago should the R/B still be in orbit and in that case it would have been likely to be at or close to the altitude for decay.
    I checked from 15 minutes ahead until the predicted time of loss over the horizon and nothing was seen.  Conditions were quite cloudy but there were sufficient clear patches in the area of interest that a decay would likely have been noticed.   
    So now we await the final "final report!"  if any!
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