Now, elset 70 for day 10297 shows a pass two minutes before that by elsets 69 and 68 (identical, day 10290) The biggest problem is that these,and no.67, have zero Bstar, and negative ndot2, which does NOT agree with the increase in mean motion! With six synthetic observations on the passes after the epoch of 67,69,70, and one for Mike/Ed, I get these elsets with an RMS of about 3.5 degrees (with MM adjusted!) and 14 degrees resp. CZ-3A R/B not likely! 1 36829U 10036B 10297.92451879 .00091814 00000-0 93025-1 0 50 2 36829 54.5520 201.5870 7000013 202.9850 161.1425 2.58991301 60 CZ-3A R/B 297 1 36829U 10036B 10297.92451879 .02196323 00000-0 25635-2 0 10 2 36829 54.5520 201.5870 7000013 202.9850 151.2318 2.72269286 30 -- Björn On Mon, 25 Oct 2010 22:13:43 -0700 (PDT) Ed Cannon wrote: > Sunday evening Mike had predictions for > a relatively new Long March rocket body, > 2010-036B, 36829, CZ-3A R/B. He got it > in the scope, and it was bright enough > for me to see with my 8x42 binoculars, > under the bright moonlight. > > The thing is, it was pure luck that we > saw it. The elements Mike had used for > his predictions were wrong, but just by > accident -- coincidence -- they gave > predictions that were only two minutes > late from when it actually appeared, _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l
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