OIG is posting decay warnings for three objects at present. The
following is taken from today's update to my Decay Watch page. Check
there for further postings and for more details, including further
predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19348 = 88- 66 E = Cosmos 1961 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 11 23:58 Oct 16 00:12 +-2d 35.2 N 70.3 E
SatEvo Oct 12 17:45 Oct 15 23:13 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1961 aux motor 600 x 135 km
1 19348U 88066E 03285.47283477 .11537763 87696-5 82157-3 0 1625
2 19348 46.4570 338.9840 0344210 234.1816 122.6615 15.66976581241562
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23416 = 94- 80 B = DFH-3 1 LM rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 12 09:08 Oct 13 09:27 +-16h 19.0 N 57.0 E
SatEvo Oct 12 17:30 Oct 13 12:32 +-7h 2.0 S 54.1 E
Latest elset:
DFH-3 1 LM r 8.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 v 21 452 x 129 km
1 23416U 94080B 03285.50279829 .17571446 -91507-5 70191-3 0 2972
2 23416 27.3308 87.8271 0242510 145.6936 215.9553 15.94172586149598
SatEvo prediction:
(ends)
DFH-3 1 LM r 8.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 v 21 268 x 120 km
1 23416U 94080B 03286.30835205 .31909632 19664+0 50161-3 0 92976
2 23416 27.3247 81.5772 0112323 156.0571 204.4691 16.29385796149725
DFH-3 1 LM r 8.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 v 21 194 x 115 km
1 23416U 94080B 03286.49124925 .56091698 10261+1 46790-3 0 92975
2 23416 27.3223 80.1043 0060175 158.4996 201.7542 16.44257571149753
Note: My estimate is for this to decay southbound near the Seychelles
on the final predicted orbit above. There are still several revs of
uncertainty.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27459 = 02- 34 C = Contour Delta 2 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Oct 12 16:12 Oct 14 16:01 +-4d 23.7 N 63.5 W
SatEvo Oct 12 16:50 Not predicted
Latest elset:
Contour Del r2 3.0 2.0 0.0 6.5 d 2.7 30119 x 93 km
1 27459U 02034C 03285.33333333 .00000000 00000-0 00000-0 0 2788
2 27459 31.4840 156.2219 6987934 34.5876 190.0628 2.75726045 20
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Oct 12 2003 - 14:01:44 EDT