Re: possible decay sighting

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Oct 31 2002 - 18:13:20 EST


Tony Beresford writes:
>Just got this message from Gordon Garradd  loomberah@ozemail.com.au .
>I cant see any predicted decay to explain this sighting. He is referring to
>0950UT October 31. Either in decays by date from OIG, or in expected
>decays from OIG or Alan Pickup's latest decay watch posting.
>Have list members any suggestions?
 >...

No obvious candidate decayer. Closest in time is probably #27549 for 
which the latest and probably final elset is:
Integral Proton deb H                            453 x 154 km
1 27549U 02048H   02302.51204122  .10937398  10843-4  25262-2 0    74
2 27549  51.4917  45.4949 0224190 116.3546 246.0667 15.89534577  1102

My analysis suggests decay about 1.5d later at October 31.0, but even if 
it survived until 09:50 UTC the orbital plane was in the wrong place for 
Loomberah.

Alan
-- 
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
          *

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