Decay watch: 2002 October 28

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Mon Oct 28 2002 - 16:57:05 EST

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     From my updated Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27543 = 02- 48 D = Integral Proton debris (casing)
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct 28 17:18     Oct 29 05:48 +-8h        11.7 N    91.0 E
    SatEvo     Oct 28 21:45     Oct 29 05:06 +-4h        16.9 N    56.5 W
    
    Latest elset:
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   287 x 160 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02301.65778515  .12600756  11180-4  25470-2 0   538
    2 27543  51.5455  46.5892 0096592 123.6180 237.4100 16.18587892  1805
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   260 x 155 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02301.84262525  .18571407  12673+0  25500-2 0 90530
    2 27543  51.5439  45.5695 0080129 124.3835 236.3768 16.24549820  1838
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   249 x 152 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02301.90408096  .21402328  18446+0  22697-2 0 90539
    2 27543  51.5432  45.2284 0073690 124.6397 236.0573 16.26995148  1845
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   237 x 149 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02301.96543554  .25642462  28428+0  20037-2 0 90530
    2 27543  51.5424  44.8866 0066382 124.8963 235.7293 16.29862014  1852
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   221 x 146 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02302.02666873  .32870815  51201+0  17493-2 0 90538
    2 27543  51.5415  44.5438 0057808 125.1537 235.3893 16.33401091  1860
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   201 x 140 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02302.08774462  .48656673  14920+1  15193-2 0 90532
    2 27543  51.5398  44.2000 0046885 125.4119 235.0269 16.38231392  1879
    Integral Proton deb D (casing)                   166 x 129 km
    1 27543U 02048D   02302.14857461 1.19219121  16759+2  14174-2 0 90533
    2 27543  51.5374  43.8544 0028729 125.6715 234.5963 16.46956011  1889
    
    Note: I show this decaying just after the end of the final SatEvo-
    predicted rev above, just after passing over Barbados. If it stays
    aloft, it would pass just S of London at 05:20 and S of Berlin at
    05:22.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Oct 28 2002 - 17:45:48 EST