Decay watch: 2002 October 20

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Oct 20 2002 - 06:58:55 EDT

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    The first decay notice has been posted for the Molniya 3-37 r2. What 
    follows is lifted from my updated Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #20446 = 90-  6 C = Molniya 3-37 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct 19 19:02     Oct 23 01:14 +-2d        26.9 S   172.6 E
    SatEvo     Oct 20 10:45     Oct 23 02:51 +-1d
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-37 r2                                  1474 x 93 km
    1 20446U 90006C   02292.81198808  .15029829  56583-5  23290-3 0  8300
    2 20446  62.3074  37.3243 0963873 267.3706  81.7003 14.32566896102056
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Molniya 3-37 r2                                  1316 x 91 km
    1 20446U 90006C   02293.50435518  .18557122  13165-1  23878-3 0 98300
    2 20446  62.2975  35.1077 0865229 267.5619  82.5173 14.56922560102155
    Molniya 3-37 r2                                  1179 x 89 km
    1 20446U 90006C   02294.04966558  .21265013  19730-1  24098-3 0 98301
    2 20446  62.2889  33.3021 0776890 267.7189  83.3739 14.78550038102234
    Molniya 3-37 r2                                  1046 x 88 km
    1 20446U 90006C   02294.51993125  .24637038  28937-1  24525-3 0 98300
    2 20446  62.2806  31.6951 0689506 267.8597  84.2356 15.00034904102305
    Molniya 3-37 r2                                  871 x 86 km
    1 20446U 90006C   02295.04855303  .30803675  52501-1  25503-3 0 98304
    2 20446  62.2696  29.8219 0572213 268.0252  85.4155 15.29019740102385
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while northbound near 60 deg S, just after
    southern apex and at a height of 130 km. Eclipse exit occurs
    northbound near 51 deg N at ~03:00 local time and (currently) 1200 km.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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