TJM obs of 2002 Oct 06 UTC and elements

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@rogers.com)
Date: Sun Oct 06 2002 - 09:31:58 EDT

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    21147 91 017A   2701 G 20021006095519270 17 25 0913951+612919 97 S
    21147 91 017A   2701 G 20021006095604350 17 25 1137557+623348 28 S
    21147 91 017A   2701 G 20021006095643850 17 25 1252920+585362 87 S
    25744 99 028A   2701 G 20021006100815970 17 25 0910064+601151 57 R
    25744 99 028A   2701 G 20021006101111660 17 25 1115441+604731 37 R
    25744 99 028A   2701 G 20021006101218890 17 25 1154647+592375 18 R
    
    There is some inconsistency among my timings of 91017A.
    
    Elements for the arc 2002 Sep 04 - Oct 06 UTC:
    
    USA 144          0.0  0.0  0.0  3.6 v 17.7
    1 25744U 99028A   02279.40486400  .00000030  00000-0  47004-2 0    09
    2 25744  63.4358  61.6131 0236622 292.8607  64.7561  9.69783300    00
    
    WRMS error = 0.01 deg
    
    During the above arc, the orbit has been constantly in sunlight; therefore, the effects of SRP (Solar Radiation Pressure) on mean
    motion should have cancelled out. The small non-zero rate of decay may be due to a combination of atmospheric drag and asymmetry of
    the SRP during each revolution.
    
    During 2002 Oct 07 - Dec 15, the orbit will be in partial eclipse, and the object will lose energy due to SRP; ndot/2 is predicted
    to peak near 0.00000095 rev/d^2 about mid-way through this period.
    
    The significance of 99028A's SRP effects was discussed in the thread that began with the following message:
    
    http://satobs.org/seesat/Aug-2002/0045.html
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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