Report time: 15:35 UTC
2000-067B (#26581) Proton RB
SPACECOM's FINAL REPORT - prepared October 23. 11:56 UTC - shows no change
against its preceding prediction but with a smaller decay windows:
23 October, 11:27 UTC +/- 09 minutes (44.1°S, 28.0°E)
Also my MPM + REENTRY prediction remains unchanged:
23 October, 11.22.5 UTC +/- 08 minutes (32.91°S, 09.75°E)
But a big surprise! Tony Beresford reported a decay observation from a
Australian Weather Station - Giles, 28.03°S, 128.3°E - on about 11:45 UTC
and suggests the decayer could be the Proton RB based on the last released
ELSET.
A first in depth analysis confirms Tonys calculation. The observation from
Giles is in excellent agreement with a significant later decay of the RB.
SPACECOM and I use similiar prediction techniques (Special Pertubations,
retrofitted Ballistic coefficient, actual Ap ect.). Based on the last
published two ELSETs there was no indication for a reentry later 11.30 UTC.
An interesting and not full understanding case....
Harro
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Oct 23 2000 - 09:50:56 PDT