My Decay Watch page has been updated with regard to today's two decayed
objects - I'll update the others later.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25129 = 97- 86 D = Asiasat 3 Proton r2
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 7 04:50 Oct 7 04:49 +-27m 50.7 S 55.5 W
SatEvo Oct 7 18:20 Oct 7 03:20 +-100m 47.9 S 13.3 W
Final elset:
Asiasat 3 r 898 x 81 km
1 25129U 97086D 00281.02213318 .99999999 89365-5 11985-2 0 726
2 25129 50.7896 117.2723 0595071 265.7672 87.7178 15.25500346 26930
Note: The final elset shows this running 15 sec late against my
final SatEvo prediction. A new evolution ends...
Asiasat 3 r 737 x 77 km
1 25129U 97086D 00281.08730827 2.58378585 36603+1 11087-2 0 90702
2 25129 50.7727 116.9770 0486291 264.1044 90.3341 15.53283335 26940
Asiasat 3 r 512 x 76 km
1 25129U 97086D 00281.15120451 3.90854571 13595+2 12278-2 0 90706
2 25129 50.7588 116.6424 0326751 264.3690 91.8965 15.93079641 26957
It might have survived to decay near perigee on the final of these
orbits, at 04:45 UTC, as SpaceCom estimates. However, I judge that
decay was more likely on the previous rev over the South Atlantic as
it headed to pass N of cape Town, South Africa, at 03:27 UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25547 = 98- 68 B = Bonum Delta 2 rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 7 05:31 Oct 7 04:56 +-15m 11.6 N 71.6 W
SatEvo Oct 7 18:10 Oct 7 04:56 +-20m 3.9 N 55.7 W
Final elset:
Bonum Delta r 7.0 2.4 0.0 5.0 d 12 135 x 123 km
1 25547U 98068B 00281.17692554 .85015219 -12408-4 47717-3 0 6610
2 25547 25.7217 222.7675 0008984 45.7138 314.4163 16.54014512100032
Note: I show this decaying near the southbound equator crossing on
this orbit - this places it over Surinam in northern South America.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Oct 07 2000 - 11:50:40 PDT