Re: unidentified "decay" Aug 12

From: Tony Beresford (aberesford@iprimus.com.au)
Date: Sat Oct 07 2000 - 02:10:15 PDT

  • Next message: Tony Beresford: "Re: unidentified "decay" Aug 12"

    At 14:36 7/10/00 , you wrote:
     Kate, The output of my prediction programme which ignores sun illumination,
    given below for Coolangatta
    Shows that neither of your proposed candiadates fit the observations.
    I used the last elements available for both objects.
    SL-12 DEB    Decayed: 2000/08/13
    1 26047U 89001N   00224.39416992  .07543705  00000-0  77000-1 0   748
    2 26047  64.0557  88.5197 0104624 127.6024 233.6999 15.53860616 50259
    CSL-04 DEB    Decayed: 2000/08/11
    1 26420U 99057JR  00224.23239057  .06555634  65439-1  38597-1 0   337
    2 26420  98.6488 318.2769 0039801 293.2740  71.1077 15.83113340 17036
    99 57JRs orbital plane obviously doesnt fit, even if one assumes the
    decay date is incorrect, AND the orbital inclination doesnt fit with the
    observed direction.
    89 1N'S at the time of observation must have crossed 28.9 degreesS latitude
    at 177.9 degrees East, where it wouldnt have been visible at decaying satelliter
    heights ( 100-110Km) from Coolongatta. Also note the OIG decay date is 
    next day , Aug 13. Such a date is consistent with the last element set.
    This reinforces my earlier comment that it was a meteor.
    Meteors are more common than satellite  re-entries.
    Tony Beresford
    
    ===================================
                      Station Coolangatta
     u.t.     az   Alt Lat.  E Lon Range(kms)
     Date  0 812 satellite SL-12 DEB    
     10 53.8 339.0 13.3-18.6 149.6  1204.
     10 54.3 340.1 18.3-20.3 150.4  1001.
     10 54.8 342.0 25.2-22.0 151.3   805.
     10 55.3 345.5 35.7-23.8 152.1   624.
     10 55.8 354.5 52.5-25.5 153.1   476.
     10 56.3  39.2 73.7-27.2 154.0   399.
     10 56.8 123.9 61.6-28.9 155.0   434.
     10 57.3 139.4 41.8-30.6 156.0   560.
     10 57.8 144.4 29.2-32.3 157.0   731.
     10 58.3 146.7 21.2-34.0 158.1   922.
     10 58.8 148.1 15.6-35.6 159.3  1123.
     10 59.3 149.0 11.4-37.3 160.5  1329.
      Date  0 812 satellite CSL-04 DEB    
      0 35.3 106.6 10.1-30.4 164.6  1192.
      2  3.9 296.7 10.7-23.2 143.8  1157.
      2  4.4 284.8 11.6-25.2 143.3  1109.
      2  4.9 272.4 11.7-27.2 142.8  1108.
      2  5.4 260.5 10.8-29.1 142.3  1152.
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Oct 07 2000 - 02:10:30 PDT