See my Decay Watch page for updated decay predictions for the following
object - latest elsets collected at the end and predicted elset on my
WWW page ...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #21829 = 91- 87 F = Raduga 28 aux motor
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 6 01:39 Oct 8 00:47 +-1d 36.0 S 89.8 W
SatEvo Oct 6 21:50 Oct 8 10:35 +-13h
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23954 = 96- 41 B = GPS 2-26 r1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 6 03:35 Oct 8 02:11 +-1d 16.9 S 55.4 W
SatEvo Oct 6 22:00 Oct 8 02:15 +-8h
This enters eclipse near southern apex in the evening and exits
eclipse on the approach to northern apex in the morning.
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Object: #25129 = 97- 86 D = Asiasat 3 Proton r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 6 14:22 Oct 7 01:37 +-7h 49.1 S 7.3 E
SatEvo Oct 6 22:10 Oct 7 03:21 +-3h 46.3 S 2.4 W
Note: I suspect that this will decay near perigee on this SatEvo-
predicted orbit:
Asiasat 3 r 692 x 80 km
1 25129U 97086D 00281.08692629 2.92428312 51929+1 14496-2 0 90694
2 25129 50.7651 116.9747 0452336 264.2650 90.5618 15.60494935 26944
This puts it over the South Atlantic, heading north-eastwards towards
South Africa. It passes just N of Cape Town at 03:26 UTC and N of
Pretoria three minutes later. SpaceCom puts the decay on the previous
rev.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25234 = 98- 12 B = Teledesic 1
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 5 20:42 Oct 8 17:01 +-2d 29.1 S 64.3 W
SatEvo Oct 6 22:20 Oct 8 14:07 +-12h
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25547 = 98- 68 B = Bonum Delta 2 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 6 17:25 Oct 7 04:35 +-8h 23.4 N 157.3 W
SatEvo Oct 6 22:30 Oct 7 04:24 +-4h 16.6 N 178.4 E
I estimate that this will decay about one orbit later than the perigee
time on the final predicted orbit below, over the central Pacific:
Bonum Delta r 7.0 2.4 0.0 5.0 d 12 170 x 140 km
1 25547U 98068B 00281.05556983 .30949562 67620+0 70830-3 0 96531
2 25547 25.7228 223.7776 0022834 37.2614 322.8969 16.44247760100019
Bonum Delta r 7.0 2.4 0.0 5.0 d 12 153 x 131 km
1 25547U 98068B 00281.11615592 .54062221 20281+1 58283-3 0 96535
2 25547 25.7222 223.2756 0017079 38.1134 322.0072 16.49137355100029
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26539 = 00- 56 B = Cosmos 2372 Zenit rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Oct 6 19:03 Oct 9 04:51 +-1d 24.5 N 64.6 E
SatEvo Oct 6 22:45 Oct 11 07:29 +-1.2d
This is visible southbound in the evening sky as it moves to enter
eclipse near 49 deg N. Eclipse exit occurs near southern apex.
Latest elsets:
Raduga 28 aux motor 720 x 124 km
1 21829U 91087F 00280.53887106 .13125999 83834-5 53316-3 0 9378
2 21829 46.3694 82.6471 0438514 159.3514 202.5747 15.48189262154550
GPS 2-26 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 13 221 x 210 km
1 23954U 96041B 00280.56403675 .02691586 16321-5 11627-2 0 9016
2 23954 35.2205 29.8452 0008319 50.2225 309.9295 16.21448718236391
Asiasat 3 r 1321 x 84 km
1 25129U 97086D 00280.82015320 .99999999 67179-5 11641-2 0 690
2 25129 50.7975 118.2405 0873510 263.2652 87.2780 14.57274124 26901
Teledesic 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 d 2.7 249 x 242 km
1 25234U 98012B 00280.49093832 .02600536 93375-2 31505-2 0 9520
2 25234 97.6393 200.1752 0005441 131.2119 228.9663 16.10551973144636
Bonum Delta r 7.0 2.4 0.0 5.0 d 12 220 x 165 km
1 25547U 98068B 00280.56767267 .07683976 -11496-4 11739-2 0 6532
2 25547 25.7250 227.7591 0041265 30.5038 329.8600 16.30029297 99933
C 2372 Zenit r 260 x 191 km
1 26539U 00056B 00280.55465305 .01130298 73451-5 51792-3 0 345
2 26539 64.7842 152.1148 0052184 59.8890 300.7254 16.17957127 1793
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Oct 06 2000 - 16:04:46 PDT