Decay watch: 2000 Oct 4

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Oct 04 2000 - 12:16:47 PDT

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    A summary of today's update to my Decay Watch page, with the latest
    elsets collected at the end...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #21829 = 91- 87 F = Raduga 28 aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
    SpaceCom   Oct  3 23:36     Oct  7 22:21 +-2d        21.2 N   105.1 E
    SatEvo     Oct  4 18:15     Oct  8 11:15 +-1.3d
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25129 = 97- 86 D = Asiasat 3 Proton r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct  4 05:41     Oct  7 03:13 +-2d        35.6 S    17.5 E
    SatEvo     Oct  4 18:25     Oct  7 01:14 +-18h
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25234 = 98- 12 B = Teledesic 1 (also called BatSat)
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct  4 13:43     Oct  8 13:24 +-2d        13.4 N   167.7 E
    SatEvo     Oct  4 19:00     Oct  8 18:38 +-1.3d
    
    It enters eclipse while southbound near 75 deg N at ~02:30 local time
    and leaves eclipse while still southbound near 68 deg S at ~23:00 local
    time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25547 = 98- 68 B = Bonum Delta rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct  4 15:33     Oct  7 12:41 +-2d        22.9 S   105.1 W
    SatEvo     Oct  4 18:35     Oct  8 01:12 +-1.2d
    
    This enters eclipse while northbound near 23 deg N in the evening sky
    and leaves eclipse while southbound near 12 deg S before dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26104 = 00- 13 E = Express 2A aux motor
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Oct  4 14:42     Oct  5 11:12 +-14h       44.2 N    52.6 E
    SatEvo     Oct  4 18:45     Oct  5 08:03 +-7h        47.2 N   128.9 E
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    ...(clipped)...
    Express 2A aux motor                             1409 x 109 km
    1 26104U 00013E   00279.25332951 4.97115654  92292+1  14623-1 0 91427
    2 26104  47.0606 171.1473 0910448  68.0445 301.3792 14.39878241  5057
    Express 2A aux motor                             873 x 103 km
    1 26104U 00013E   00279.32022473 8.97104338  50000+2  14792-1 0 91420
    2 26104  47.0305 170.8172 0560857  68.3646 297.5154 15.26093966  5065
    
    The perigee height is very uncertain, as is the decay prediction. I
    estimate that it will decay near perigee on the final of these predicted
    orbits, eastbound over northern China.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Latest elsets:
    Raduga 28 aux motor                              975 x 126 km
    1 21829U 91087F   00278.64025447  .08834374  80488-5  48311-3 0  9233
    2 21829  46.3875  92.7766 0612407 149.0751 214.7800 15.05463170154263
    Asiasat 3 r                                      3794 x 89 km
    1 25129U 97086D   00278.61341999  .00881575  13095-4  20519-4 0   525
    2 25129  50.8113 125.7144 2226281 255.7063  78.8197 11.44039971 26629
    Teledesic 1      2.0  0.0  0.0  7.0 d  2.7       278 x 270 km
    1 25234U 98012B   00278.55836347  .01965975  25976-2  39696-2 0  9419
    2 25234  97.6444 197.9508 0006323 133.1795 226.9977 16.00248313144328
    Bonum Delta r    7.0  2.4  0.0  5.0 d   12       301 x 193 km
    1 25547U 98068B   00278.34805423  .02721234 -11150-4  15871-2 0  6412
    2 25547  25.7293 245.4824 0081810   0.9843 359.0854 16.09900744 99578
    Express 2A aux motor                             4450 x 131 km
    1 26104U 00013E   00278.43905910  .99999999  54542-5  24706-1 0  1422
    2 26104  47.1740 173.8925 2491113  65.3936 319.4848 10.75685514  4953
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Oct 04 2000 - 12:19:07 PDT