1999-048E (#25917) FOTON 12 DEBRIS The "debris" is a massive piece - a compact spacecraft unit - with a large mass/drag area. One can see it on the very slow decay. There are only a few visual observations. (Ed Cannon Oct 14: "About + 2.5 at a range of 240 km and a good phase angle"). Based on a set of the last four ELSETs I have derived a ballistic coefficient. Following assumptions: Drag area: 1.0 mē (RCS 0.896 - 1.21 mē) Drag coeffi- cient 2.20. The resulting mass is then around 240 kg. Then with the last released ELSETs 99291.228... and 99291.474... MPM delivers a decay at 21 October, 23:50 UTC +/- 08 hours. I am missing Alans and SpaceComs forecasts... and your observations (tumbling!?) Harro Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de Berlin, Germany ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html