Re: Decay watch: #25486 = Molniya rocket

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 13 Oct 1998 23:44:50 +0100

A couple more elsets have appeared, the latest ...

Moln 1T? Moln r1                                 175 x 147 km
1 25486U 98054B   98286.86035271  .12311808  86289-5  43031-3 0   780
2 25486  62.8070 254.0904 0021434 139.6458 220.6313 16.41946067  2399

... showing it 12 seconds late on the prediction I posted earlier this
UK evening.

My latest evolution implies decay somewhat later than I said earlier,
perhaps near the following northbound crossing at 02:48 UTC near 166 deg
W. My final prediction runs:
Moln 1T? Moln r1                                 167 x 143 km
1 25486U 98054B   98286.92118740  .19429471  29036+0  47530-3 0 90781
2 25486  62.8063 253.8362 0018503 139.6581 220.4793 16.44197278  2403
Moln 1T? Moln r1                                 157 x 138 km
1 25486U 98054B   98286.98195272  .26758518  61353+0  43295-3 0 90789
2 25486  62.8055 253.5813 0015013 139.6704 220.4409 16.46949693  2415
Moln 1T? Moln r1                                 143 x 130 km
1 25486U 98054B   98287.04259293  .46869745  23113+1  41523-3 0 90783
2 25486  62.8042 253.3258 0010423 139.6828 220.3945 16.51153851  2423

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
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