Decay update : October 12
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 12 Oct 1997 21:53:42 +0100
The final elset for the Long March rocket was:
Long March 2 r 137 x 122 km
1 24930U 97048F 97283.96803692 .18705964 -16873-5 12135-3 0 1132
2 24930 86.2941 105.4189 0011456 25.7238 335.1343 16.53736551 6204
I believe the re-entry came on this orbit, perhaps around midnight UTC
at October 11.00.
The latest elset from OIG for Lewis LMLV-1 is:
LMLV-1 184 x 177 km
1 24910U 97044B 97285.57500567 .04259498 26521-5 63068-3 0 1288
2 24910 97.5413 185.9773 0004855 177.1072 183.0619 16.34531960 8042
I compute decay at about October 13.3. Predicted elsets from my SatEvo
analysis:
LMLV-1 170 x 168 km
1 24910U 97044B 97285.88070528 .08351014 54685-1 78868-3 0 91249
2 24910 97.5261 186.3334 0001659 148.7883 211.2215 16.38755671 8096
LMLV-1 164 x 162 km
1 24910U 97044B 97286.00275203 .11041894 99600-1 79355-3 0 91245
2 24910 97.5253 186.4789 0001395 148.2806 211.7278 16.41089640 8116
LMLV-1 155 x 154 km
1 24910U 97044B 97286.12459452 .16914670 25522+0 63373-3 0 91247
2 24910 97.5242 186.6247 0001068 147.7718 212.2347 16.44381915 8136
LMLV-1 138 x 137 km
1 24910U 97044B 97286.24611036 .44789491 20709+1 50681-3 0 91241
2 24910 97.5224 186.7709 0000581 147.2611 212.7425 16.50691597 8157
Decay of the Molniya-M rocket is now predicted for October 14.5.
>From OIG:
LMLV-1 184 x 177 km
1 24910U 97044B 97285.57500567 .04259498 26521-5 63068-3 0 1288
2 24910 97.5413 185.9773 0004855 177.1072 183.0619 16.34531960 8042
The Iridium Delta 2 r and the SL-12 aux motor are still predicted to
decay on October 15 and 19 respectively. Latest elsets:
Iridm Delta r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.6 d 275 x 178 km
1 24908U 97043F 97285.51947566 .02132843 -13552-5 79955-3 0 1456
2 24908 82.6149 345.4448 0073956 153.0188 207.4991 16.17479653 8282
SL-12 r (aux motor) 2783 x 108 km
1 21863U 92005H 97285.46399727 .12946028 94918-5 57573-3 0 2478
2 21863 64.1737 349.2769 1709335 203.8461 147.4028 12.54546093 92772
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/