Decay of Progress M-36 Soyuz r (#25003)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 6 Oct 1997 21:53:38 +0100

The Soyuz rocket which lofted Progress M-36 appears to be heading for
decay at about October 7.75 according to my SatEvo evolution.

The latest elset from OIG is:
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                196 x 174 km
1 25003U 97058B   97279.78894693  .03516494  12242-4  53692-3 0   106
2 25003  51.6462 245.1357 0016448  69.3626 290.9215 16.32881635   188

My predicted elsets to decay:
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                194 x 172 km
1 25003U 97058B   97279.85010957  .04550661  13585-1  64414-3 0 90079
2 25003  51.6488 244.7939 0016231  70.6342 289.5412 16.33584638   195
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                188 x 169 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.03352202  .05459847  20413-1  64178-3 0 90073
2 25003  51.6483 243.7656 0014476  71.4007 288.7564 16.35409225   224
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                180 x 164 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.21670764  .06918930  34576-1  63849-3 0 90072
2 25003  51.6477 242.7356 0012478  72.1685 287.9676 16.37652975   255
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                171 x 158 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.39960494  .09694534  71620-1  63245-3 0 90078
2 25003  51.6469 241.7034 0010096  72.9379 287.1726 16.40628819   285
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                156 x 147 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.58209196  .17473897  28971+0  46371-3 0 90070
2 25003  51.6455 240.6681 0006949  73.7097 286.3667 16.45274221   312
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                149 x 142 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.64278215  .25182190  66875+0  41553-3 0 90079
2 25003  51.6448 240.3219 0005518  73.9678 286.0929 16.47798368   320
Prog M-36 Soyuz r                                136 x 132 km
1 25003U 97058B   97280.70335369  .50898215  33829+1  41479-3 0 90071
2 25003  51.6437 239.9749 0003552  74.2266 285.8126 16.51994672   331

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/