Decay of 96-59 B

Bjoern Gimle (b_gimle@algonet.se)
Sun, 27 Oct 1996 23:06:48 +0100 (MET)

The following elsets by SatEvo, indicating a decay on Oct.28.71,
are probably pessimistic, and the rocket should be late:

298.38                                           190 x 146
1 24635U 96059B   96302.19125053  .06945960  34678-1  28619-3 0 90172
2 24635  63.0313  54.9563 0033186 145.9650 214.2479 16.39203340  1282
298.38                                           186 x 145
1 24635U 96059B   96302.25223600  .07648084  43123-1  28249-3 0 90178
2 24635  63.0311  54.7046 0031198 145.9728 214.2271 16.40091772  1298
298.38                                           182 x 144
1 24635U 96059B   96302.31318659  .08534229  55143-1  27869-3 0 90172
2 24635  63.0308  54.4527 0029076 145.9807 214.2055 16.41075832  1307
298.38                                           178 x 143
1 24635U 96059B   96302.37409829  .09693381  73383-1  27498-3 0 90178
2 24635  63.0304  54.2006 0026787 145.9886 214.1828 16.42182656  1318
298.38                                           173 x 141
1 24635U 96059B   96302.43496583  .11285173  10322+0  27168-3 0 90173
2 24635  63.0300  53.9483 0024286 145.9965 214.1588 16.43453907  1324
298.38                                           167 x 139
1 24635U 96059B   96302.49578195  .13630595  15760+0  26950-3 0 90172
2 24635  63.0296  53.6956 0021498 146.0044 214.1330 16.44958846  1331


These elsets indicate decay decay Oct.29.12, and can be used with
the previous, and an observation, to estimate probable decay time:

299.42                                           204 x 152
1 24635U 96059B   96302.19368166  .04375952  12031-1  31775-3 0 90213
2 24635  63.0304  54.9664 0039657 145.0237 215.2361 16.35377412  1284
299.42                                           202 x 152
1 24635U 96059B   96302.25481662  .04610591  13576-1  31285-3 0 90219
2 24635  63.0302  54.7155 0038330 145.0316 215.2192 16.35926506  1297
299.42                                           199 x 151
1 24635U 96059B   96302.31593045  .04877079  15453-1  30783-3 0 90219
2 24635  63.0300  54.4645 0036956 145.0394 215.2020 16.36505973  1308
299.42                                           197 x 150
1 24635U 96059B   96302.37702196  .05182681  17768-1  30269-3 0 90213
2 24635  63.0298  54.2134 0035529 145.0473 215.1846 16.37120095  1313
299.42                                           194 x 150
1 24635U 96059B   96302.43808976  .05537103  20669-1  29746-3 0 90218
2 24635  63.0296  53.9621 0034044 145.0552 215.1668 16.37774177  1326
299.42                                           191 x 149
1 24635U 96059B   96302.49913226  .05953719  25099-1  29214-3 0 90216
2 24635  63.0293  53.7107 0032491 145.0631 215.1505 16.38474901  1336
        

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