SatEvo decay list #15

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 2 Oct 1996 22:23:50 +0100

SatEvo decay list #15  (issued 1996 October 2)

Here are my latest SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" 
decay times are estimated from the final available elements.

   #    Designation    Name               ------- Decay -------
                                          Predicted   Actual?

 24037   94- 29 CJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 21.0
 24274   96- 45 B   Molniya SL-6 r?                   September 21.38
  4641   70- 25 Z   Thorad Agena D deb                September 21.8
 23961   94- 29 J   STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 22.69
 24437   96- 58 C   Ekspress Proton-K r2?             September 27.55
 23988   94- 29 AJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 27.6
 23965   94- 29 N   STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 27.7
 24436   96- 58 B   Ekspress Proton-K r               September 29.65
 23958   94- 29 F   STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 29
 24328   94- 29 ND  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 29
 24327   94- 29 NC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 30
 24028   94- 29 BZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                September 30.45
 23888   86- 17 KG  GFZ 1 deb             October  3.9
 16982   86- 73 B   NOAA 10 deb           October  4.7
  8074   66- 56 H   Pageos 1 deb          October  6?
 24404   92- 29 RH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October  7
 24434   92- 29 SN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 10
 24219   94- 29 KS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 11
 13682   81- 28 BE  Cosmos 1260 deb       October 12
 23689   86- 17 JL  GFZ 1 deb             October 12
 23869   96- 31 B   MSTI-3 Pegasus r      October 12
 24413   92- 29 RS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 12
 21794   91- 79 F   SL-12 r aux motor     October 13
 23856   86- 17 KF  GFZ 1 deb             October 13
 24160   94- 29 HK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 17
 24409   94- 29 RN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 17
 23946   96- 38 B   USA 125 Titan IV r    October 19
 23924   86- 17 LL  GFZ 1 deb             October 21
 24063   94- 29 DL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 21
 24060   94- 29 DD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 24
 12347   80- 30 V   Cosmos 1174 deb       October 25
  5275   69- 82 HS  Thorad Agena D deb    October 30
 23876   96- 32 D   PAMS/STU              October 31
 23984   94- 29 AE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    October 31
 23903   86- 17 KW  GFZ 1 deb            November  4
 23566   86- 17 JH  GFZ 1 deb            November 24
 23053   89- 89 AY  COBE deb             November 27
 23932   86- 17 LS  GFZ 1 deb            November 27
  6895   73- 78 C   Delta 1 r1           November 29
 23476   83- 75 BC  Cosmos 1484 deb      November 29
  7047   73- 86 AP  Delta 1 deb          December  2

Notes:

1. In addition, the following STEP-2 Pegasus debris may decay during
November: 23998, 24018, 24026, 24047, 24048, 24157, 24200, 
          24252, 24351, 24365, 24367, 24371, 24407, 24410, 
          24412, 24416, 24439

2. By October 2, the perigee height of #8074 = 66- 56 H 
(Pageos 1 deb H) was down to 253 km and that of #23800 = 96-  5 E 
(Gorizont 31 SL-12 deb) was around 115 km. My prediction that
#8074 will decay about October 6 is no more than a guess.


Bjorn Gimle maintains a WWW resource of decay information at
                http://www.algonet.se/~b_gimle/

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
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