Catalogue# 30000

From: Leo Barhorst (leobarhorst@zonnet.nl)
Date: Tue Nov 08 2005 - 15:19:04 EST

  • Next message: Ted Molczan: "Some updated elements"

    George Olshesky wrote:
    
    > Wonder how long it will be until we hit catalogue #30000. A little
    > more than a thousand objects to go. Maybe in 2006?
    >
    
    Unless there is some major break-up I think it will be in 2007.
    
    From my database of satlaunches I got the following:
    Cat#    ID                Launchdate
    00001 1957-01 A 19571004
    01000 1965-08 B 19650211
    02000 1966-10 B 19660210
    03000 1967-100A 19671018
    04000 1969-56 A 19690629
    05000 1970-25HW 19710217 (= for 05003 1971-17 A)
    06000 1972-31 A 19720416
    07000 1973-106A 19731225
    08000 1966-76 F 19750703 (= for 08006 1975-61 A)
    09000 1975-04CJ 19760708 (= for 09006 1976-65 A)
    10000 1977-34 A 19770512
    11000 1978-77 B 19780807
    12000 1973-86GL 19801005 (= for 12003 1980-81 A)
    13000 1981-120D 19811217
    14000 1977-68 G 19830417 (= for 14002 1983-33 A)
    15000 1984-52 C 19840528
    16000 1985-78 B 19850829
    17000 1976-77EX 19861006 (= for 17001 1986-76 A)
    18000 1987-44 B 19870519
    19000 1976-77FH 19880324 (= for 19011 1988-25 A)
    20000 1989-37 A 19890524
    21000 1990-109A 19901116
    22000 1992-34 A 19920625
    23000 1994-11 B 19940212
    24000 1994-29AV 19960731 (= for 24071 1996-43 A)
    25000 1968-81 G 19971004 (= for 25002 1997-58 A) Exactly 40 years after 
    00001 !!!
    26000 1991-68 K 19991221 (= for 26032 1999-70 A)
    27000 2001-55 D 20011207
    28000 1988-85AW 20031015 (= for 28043 2003-45 A)
    29000 ????  ????
    30000 ????  ????
    
    For several entries that are fragments the next launchdate and sat is given.
    Based on the fact that #25000 was exactly after 40 years, we get an avarage 
    of 625
    catalogued objects per year. So to get 1100 more we need 1100/625=1.76 year.
    Nov 2005 and 21 months gives July 2007.
    
    Greetings and clear, dark skies
    Leo Barhorst, Medemblik NL
    Cospar 4252 52.76350 N 5.09114 E 2 m ASL
    http://www.satlist.nl/index.html
    
    
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