Observation was attempted of a what should have been a good pass here at 0511 on 10 November- 1611 on 9 November UTC - in a dawning sky. Sky conditions were cloudy with intermittent breaks,and nothing was observed However I believe I can state with a reasonable degree of certainty that decay does not appear to likely to have taken place near here (which was not expected anyway.): I consider conditions were such that a decay would have been likely to be noticeable through the breaks in cloud, even though less significant sightings were not. On the other hand in the circumstances no conclusions can be drawn from the non-sighting as to whether it could have decayed earlier, though this does not seem likely. Every significant near-decayer passing by here in the last few months has been clouded out- I guess we can blame time of year and also the weak El Nino which does tend to bring northwesterlies and cloud here. Frustrating! The addition to the list of an observer in Nelson, New Zealand is very welcome as we are at similar latitudes but with different weather conditions owing to topography, which will have significant advantages in such situations as this.. I have already welcomed them directly, but may I take the opportunity to publicly welcome Steve and Bernadette. We are gradually getting a network of people who can be alerted for local potential near-decay observations, including this one, though unfortunately in this case the timing was such that confirmation was sent late at night for an early morning pass. Robert Holdsworth Wainuiomata New Zealand 41.261S 147.948E 103m UTC plus 13 ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harro Zimmer" <Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de> To: <Seesat-L@satobs.org> Sent: Tuesday, November 09, 2004 11:51 PM Subject: Decay Forecast FSW-3 3 > Reort time 10:30 UTC > > 2004-039A (#28424) FSW-3 3 > > SCC'S 12 HOURS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Nov 09, 08:22 UTC - predicts > the decay on: > > 9 November, 20:44 UTC +/- 08 hours (58.2°S, 136.4°E) descending over the Indian > Ocean. > > MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 04313.969... - 04314.274... (SFX 125, ap 030) > the decay on: > 9 November, 19:52 UTC +/- 33 minutes (32.74°E, 293.62°E) ascending over the Atlantic. > > Remark: At this time we have again a strong magnetic storm. It may be influence the > further decay behaviour of FSW-3 3. > > Harro > > Harro Zimmer > Berlin, Germany > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------- > Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive: > http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Subscribe/Unsubscribe info, Frequently Asked Questions, SeeSat-L archive: http://www.satobs.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Nov 09 2004 - 11:58:50 EST