Updates from my Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #2611 = 66-111 B = OV 1-10
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 29 19:42 Nov 30 07:15 +-8h 84.7 S 133.1 E
SatEvo Nov 29 20:50 Nov 30 05:40 +-3h 82.0 S 88.0 W
Latest elset:
OV 1-10 182 x 171 km
1 02611U 66111B 02333.76549637 .07602575 39406-6 95927-3 0 865
2 02611 93.3721 270.2999 0008628 134.1147 226.0819 16.36018239942428
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ands)
OV 1-10 149 x 142 km
1 02611U 66111B 02334.13146083 .35326726 11824+1 63957-3 0 90862
2 02611 93.3683 270.4959 0004764 132.4765 227.5637 16.47655102942485
OV 1-10 128 x 124 km
1 02611U 66111B 02334.19208934 1.34834212 20485+2 78551-3 0 90866
2 02611 93.3665 270.5288 0002654 132.2012 227.8213 16.55049758942497
Note: My estimate is for the decay to occur over Antarctica on the
last of the SatEvo revs above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27558 = 02- 53 B = Astra 1K Blok DM3 r
Decay predictions since identity swap with #27557:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 28 17:07 Nov 28 14:11 +-7m 52.0 N 125.0 W
SatEvo Nov 28 20:20 Nov 28 13:57 +-20m 28.3 N 153.9 E
Final elset:
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 134 x 121 km
1 27558U 02053B 02332.51476828 .22498372 12655-4 11819-3 0 240
2 27558 51.5759 45.7152 0009709 201.9153 158.1555 16.54601353 421
Note: I estimated that this decayed northbound over the NW Pacific
Ocean on the orbit after the one given by the final elset. However,
there are observational reports of the decay a few minutes later over
Washington and Oregon, USA, at ~14:15 UTC, in much closer agreement
with predictions by SCC and Harro Zimmer.
_____________________________________________________________________
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Nov 29 2002 - 16:26:51 EST