Decay watch: 2002 November 27

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Nov 27 2002 - 17:30:10 EST

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     From my Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #2611 = 66-111 B = OV 1-10
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 27 09:19     Nov 29 23:32 +-2d        12.9 S    29.1 E
    SatEvo     Nov 27 22:20     Nov 29 17:07 +-13h
    
    Latest elset:
    OV 1-10                                          228 x 214 km
    1 02611U 66111B   02331.80605557  .02529730  33175-6  13984-2 0   733
    2 02611  93.3781 269.2763 0010897 123.1938 295.5176 16.19407198942107
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    
    Note: This enters eclipse over the Arctic while northbound near
    83 deg N. eclipse exit occurs while southbound near 52 deg S
    at ~01:00 local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27558 = 02- 53 B = Astra 1K Blok DM3 r
    Notice prepared: 2002 Nov 27 22:10 UTC
    
    Decay predictions since identity swap with #27557:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        (None since identity switch)
    SatEvo     Nov 27 22:10     Nov 28 10:48 +-4h        16.7 S   163.2 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Astra 1K Blok DM3 r                              167 x 157 km
    1 27558U 02053B   02331.81145833  .03917019  12364-4  23328-3 0   193
    2 27558  51.5633  49.7236 0007646 178.9649 329.4146 16.41469302   308
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Astra 1K Blok DM3 r                              158 x 150 km
    1 27558U 02053B   02332.02967251  .07574706  55466-1  24509-3 0 90197
    2 27558  51.5624  48.4829 0006482 179.8952 180.1050 16.44417375   342
    Astra 1K Blok DM3 r                              143 x 137 km
    1 27558U 02053B   02332.27240244  .17163205  30756+0  20136-3 0 90194
    2 27558  51.5609  47.0954 0004434 180.9356 179.0635 16.49763291   381
    Astra 1K Blok DM3 r                              136 x 131 km
    1 27558U 02053B   02332.33293009  .25471662  62287+0  19817-3 0 90194
    2 27558  51.5603  46.7474 0003582 181.1967 178.8025 16.52282072   390
    Astra 1K Blok DM3 r                              124 x 121 km
    1 27558U 02053B   02332.39334204  .49062868  28773+1  21063-3 0 90192
    2 27558  51.5593  46.3984 0002382 181.4584 178.5409 16.56346776   406
    
    Note: The earlier elsets for this object were issued under the guise of
    Astra 1K, #27557. I estimate that this will decay while northbound
    near New Caledonia, to the E of Australia, near the end of the final
    SatEvo rev above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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