Decay Forecast ASTRA + DM -3

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Wed Nov 27 2002 - 12:42:00 EST

  • Next message: Harro Zimmer: "ASTRA 1K manoeuvred"

    Report time 17:00 UTC
    
    Alan's analysis of the mixed ELSETs for #27557 and #27558
    is  easily confirmed by a look at the arguments of perigee:
    They are roughly 115-120 different. The larger one is ASTRA's
    value.
    My ELSET comparison program shows for the time of the ASTRA
    orbit manoeuvre:
    26 November 21:59 UTC and a Delta of 3.70 km between the 2 ELSETs
    in excellent agreement with Bjoerns calculation.
    
    2002-053A (#27557) ASTRA 1K
    At this time there is no post manoeuvre prediction from SCC.
    MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 02331.115... - 02331.542...
    (SFX 150 ap 016) the decay on
    30 November 10:07 UTC +/-06 hours  (22.6S, 155.8E)
    ascending over the Pacific.
    
    2002-053B(#27558) BLock DM-3
    Also no current prediction from SCC
    MPM+REENTRY shows with the ELSETs 02331.420... and 02331.542...
    (SFX 147.5, ap 018)
    28 November 12:22 UTC +/- 90 minutes (09.8S, 145.7E)
    ascending over Papua - New Guinea after crossing Australia.
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    Berlin, Germany
    
    
    
       
    
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