My predictions for the two Astra 1K decayers, taken from my updated
Decay Watch page. Both should be visible over Europe before dawn
tomorrow.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27557 = 02- 53 A = Astra 1K
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
SCC Nov 26 14:47 Nov 29 11:51 +-2d 21.8 N 173.2 E
SatEvo Nov 26 19:20 Nov 28 17:41 +-14h
Latest elset:
Astra 1K 190 x 174 km
1 27557U 02053A 02330.56558808 .01499049 12211-4 20731-3 0 61
2 27557 51.5683 56.7494 0012523 166.0822 194.0614 16.34051446 109
SatEvo prediction:
Astra 1K 187 x 171 km
1 27557U 02053A 02330.81010681 .02001767 24262-2 24834-3 0 90062
2 27557 51.5680 55.3759 0011992 167.1117 192.9189 16.35044113 145
Astra 1K 184 x 169 km
1 27557U 02053A 02331.05449739 .02207932 34824-2 24543-3 0 90063
2 27557 51.5678 54.0011 0011424 168.1422 191.8846 16.36069852 189
Astra 1K 180 x 166 km
1 27557U 02053A 02331.29872615 .02503950 46819-2 24527-3 0 90060
2 27557 51.5674 52.6251 0010803 169.1736 190.8496 16.37217146 221
Astra 1K 176 x 163 km
1 27557U 02053A 02331.54277171 .02921955 68291-2 24631-3 0 90067
2 27557 51.5670 51.2478 0010105 170.2061 189.8135 16.38534764 263
Astra 1K 172 x 160 km
1 27557U 02053A 02331.78660366 .03543691 10645-1 24804-3 0 90064
2 27557 51.5666 49.8688 0009302 171.2398 188.7764 16.40100390 303
Astra 1K 166 x 155 km
1 27557U 02053A 02332.03017642 .04568062 18681-1 24406-3 0 90062
2 27557 51.5660 48.4878 0008341 172.2751 187.7377 16.42052573 343
Note: Eclipse entry occurs northbound near 40 deg S in the evening,
with eclipse exit just after northern apex near 51 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27558 = 02- 53 B = Astra 1K Blok DM3 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 26 08:59 Nov 27 17:31 +-20h 39.7 N 122.6 E
SatEvo Nov 26 19:55 Nov 27 12:13 +-6h 13.0 S 7.7 W
Latest elset:
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 176 x 160 km
1 27558U 02053B 02330.68647740 .02363353 12371-4 18123-3 0 90
2 27558 51.5717 56.0354 0012885 278.0076 81.9424 16.39213183 120
SatEvo prediction:
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 172 x 156 km
1 27558U 02053B 02330.80831797 .05018223 18443-1 32010-3 0 90090
2 27558 51.5714 55.3456 0012169 278.5245 81.3376 16.40696878 140
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 163 x 150 km
1 27558U 02053B 02331.05174434 .06985733 39906-1 24498-3 0 90094
2 27558 51.5706 53.9636 0010434 279.5602 80.3219 16.43556880 186
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 150 x 139 km
1 27558U 02053B 02331.29464830 .13208008 17028+0 19791-3 0 90092
2 27558 51.5694 52.5777 0007825 280.5989 79.3129 16.48096219 226
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 144 x 135 km
1 27558U 02053B 02331.35525017 .17624024 32024+0 19418-3 0 90097
2 27558 51.5689 52.2302 0006832 280.8593 79.0637 16.49936164 237
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 136 x 129 km
1 27558U 02053B 02331.41577240 .27652172 84607+0 20196-3 0 90094
2 27558 51.5682 51.8821 0005492 281.1202 78.8179 16.52575718 240
Astra 1K Blok DM3 r 122 x 118 km
1 27558U 02053B 02331.47616585 .63238856 43819+1 23174-3 0 90095
2 27558 51.5672 51.5330 0003338 281.3819 78.5805 16.57505881 257
Note: I have this decaying near the southbound equator crossing on
the last of these SatEvo-predicted revs. This puts it to the west
of Angola.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Nov 26 2002 - 15:15:13 EST