Re: Decay Forecast ASTRA + RB

From: John locker (satcom@cybase.co.uk)
Date: Tue Nov 26 2002 - 07:49:50 EST

  • Next message: Sebastian Stabroth: "Re: Decay Forecast ASTRA + RB"

    Hi Harro,
    
    Thanks for the info.......don't want to be a party pooper , but doesn't that
    mean that shortly before decay 1K will pass right over central Europe?
    This is a big junk of spacecraft , and I'm not  convinced it  will  all burn
    up !
    
    John
    
    (Just going to find a tin hat :O)
    
    
    Sent: Tuesday, November 26, 2002 12:09 PM
    Subject: Decay Forecast ASTRA + RB
    
    
    > Report time: 11:15 UTC
    >
    > 2002-053A (# 27557) ASTRA 1K
    > Surprise ! SCC has released after a long time of silence a TIP
    > message:
    > Its 04 DAYS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Nov 26, 08:43 UTC -
    > predicts the decay on
    > 30 November, 02:54 UTC +/- 02 days (35.3N, 70.8E)
    > descending over Afghanistan.
    >
    > MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 02330.259... - 02330.320...
    > (SFX 147, ap 012) the decay on
    > 30 November, 02:27 UTC +/- 06 hours (06.20S, 286.3E)
    > ascending over South America.
    >
    > 2002-053B (#27558) BLOCK DM !?
    > SCC'S ONE DAY BEFORE DECAY message prepared Nov 26, 08:43 UTC -
    > predicts:
    > 27 November, 17:34 UTC +/- 20 hours (39.7N, 122.6E)
    > ascending over South China.
    >
    > MPM+REENTRY delivers with ELSET 02330.25... 02330.320...
    > (SFX 142.5, ap 015) the decay on
    > 27, November, 15:03 UTC +/- 02 hours (14.1N, 287.7E)
    > descending over the Caribean Sea.
    > But I have a question mark. If I start the the program with
    > ideal ballistic coefficients I receive a much earlier decay
    > for #27558. But let us wait for the next ELSETs.
    >
    > Harro
    >
    > Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    >
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