Decay Forecast ASTRA + RB

From: Harro Zimmer (Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de)
Date: Tue Nov 26 2002 - 07:09:00 EST

  • Next message: John locker: "Re: Decay Forecast ASTRA + RB"

    Report time: 11:15 UTC
    
    2002-053A (# 27557) ASTRA 1K
    Surprise ! SCC has released after a long time of silence a TIP
    message:
    Its 04 DAYS BEFORE DECAY message - prepared Nov 26, 08:43 UTC -
    predicts the decay on
    30 November, 02:54 UTC +/- 02 days (35.3N, 70.8E)
    descending over Afghanistan.
    
    MPM+REENTRY delivers with the ELSETs 02330.259... - 02330.320...
    (SFX 147, ap 012) the decay on
    30 November, 02:27 UTC +/- 06 hours (06.20S, 286.3E)
    ascending over South America. 
    
    2002-053B (#27558) BLOCK DM !?
    SCC'S ONE DAY BEFORE DECAY message prepared Nov 26, 08:43 UTC -
    predicts:
    27 November, 17:34 UTC +/- 20 hours (39.7N, 122.6E)
    ascending over South China.
    
    MPM+REENTRY delivers with ELSET 02330.25... 02330.320...
    (SFX 142.5, ap 015) the decay on
    27, November, 15:03 UTC +/- 02 hours (14.1N, 287.7E)
    descending over the Caribean Sea.
    But I have a question mark. If I start the the program with
    ideal ballistic coefficients I receive a much earlier decay
    for #27558. But let us wait for the next ELSETs.
    
    Harro
    
    Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
    
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