It appears that OIG's feed of official SCC decay predictions is stalled
at present, with nothing new to report since the 13th. I expect that
when (if?) it is restored we will find that two new decayers are being
predicted, #11156 and #22922. Fortunately, elsets are still flowing. The
following summary from my updated Decay Watch page includes my
predictions for these two objects, plus the Iridium rocket that decayed
earlier today.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11156 = 78-117 B = Cosmos 1063 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC (No prediction available)
SatEvo Nov 16 21:35 Nov 20 03:18 +-1d
Latest elset:
Cosmos 1063 r 2.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 8.6 216 x 208 km
1 11156U 78117B 02320.67359103 .01418873 -95175-6 59848-3 0 8036
2 11156 81.2144 328.9090 0006253 212.4034 147.6508 16.22932102312947
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: Eclipse entry occurs northbound near 18 deg N in the evening,
with eclipse exit southbound near 43 deg N before dawn.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22922 = 93- 76 B = NATO 4B Delta 2 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC (No prediction available)
SatEvo Nov 16 21:20 Nov 18 07:52 +-12h 0.0 132.6 W
Latest elset:
NATO 4B r 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.5 d 13 247 x 184 km
1 22922U 93076B 02320.61564760 .03876414 -15625-4 12554-2 0 1958
2 22922 22.9952 56.6117 0048237 317.8193 41.8582 16.21537905449655
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: This enters eclipse northbound near 19 deg S in the evening and
leaves eclipse near northern apex at 23 deg N in the evening.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27452 = 02- 31 C = Iridium 98 Breeze rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Nov 13 17:33 Nov 16 17:46 +-2d 79.5 N 72.2 E
SatEvo Nov 16 21:10 Nov 16 14:25 +-20m 11.0 S 101.8 E
Final elset:
Irid 98 Brze r 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 d 9.4 140 x 113 km
1 27452U 02031C 02320.54235693 .25703787 -17084-5 12966-3 0 2591
2 27452 86.5245 14.2850 0020956 125.6793 234.8583 16.54943364 23303
Note: This decayed more quickly than I expected over the final few
hours. I think decay was most likely towards the end of the above
orbit while it was northbound to the S of Indonesia over the eastern
Indian Ocean.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Nov 16 2002 - 16:59:49 EST