Decay watch: 2002 November 12

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Nov 12 2002 - 16:39:14 EST

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    Updates from my Decay Watch page:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26414 = 00- 42 A = Mightysat II.1
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 12 02:38     Nov 12 00:55 +-7m         2.8 S   163.2 W
    SatEvo     Nov 12 19:45     Nov 12 00:52 +-30m       17.3 N   158.5 W
    
    Final elset:
    Mightysat II.1   1.5  1.0  0.0  7.0 d  1.6       152 x 139 km
    1 26414U 00042A   02315.94832901  .43515923  28559-5  69195-3 0  1104
    2 26414  97.7491  82.9217 0010089 262.6940  97.3745 16.47829626128661
    
    Note: I have this decaying over the Pacific near Hawaii while
    southbound on the orbit following the one above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26772 = 01- 20 C = USA 158 (GeoLITE) Delta 2 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 12 12:44     Nov 14 11:22 +-1d        15.9 N    37.4 W
    SatEvo     Nov 12 21:30     Nov 14 18:58 +-14h
    
    Latest elset:
    USA 158 Delta 2 r2                               1569 x 113 km
    1 26772U 01020C   02316.78826474  .25344702 -24376-4  92750-3 0   200
    2 26772  26.4975 161.4856 1008664 338.3734  19.0232 14.15449034  7915
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27408 = 02- 14 C = SZ 3 Module
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 12 06:54     Nov 12 06:38 +-7m        22.0 S   109.0 E
    SatEvo     Nov 12 19:50     Nov 12 06:29 +-90m        4.8 N    80.8 E
    
    Final elset:
    SZ 3 Module      4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 v   11       170 x 164 km
    1 27408U 02014C   02315.99596065  .08786373  88729-5  65149-3 0  7625
    2 27408  42.3961  56.3596 0003983 268.9988  76.0787 16.39613076 35369
    
    Note: I have this decaying near the southbound equator crossing over
    the Indian Ocean on the orbit after the SatEvo-predicted rev:
    SZ 3 Module      4.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 v   11       144 x 141 km
    1 27408U 02014C   02316.18071424  .39557621  16022+1  57077-3 0 97622
    2 27408  42.3941  55.1096 0002561 270.4604  89.5103 16.48795237 35397
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27452 = 02- 31 C = Iridium 98 Breeze rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 12 16:36     Nov 16 07:57 +-2d        21.2 S    21.9 E
    SatEvo     Nov 12 20:15     Nov 16 23:44 +-1.4d
    
    Latest elset:
    Irid 98 Brze r   5.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d  9.4       271 x 170 km
    1 27452U 02031C   02316.61337112  .01367503 -14881-5  40604-3 0  2298
    2 27452  86.5407  16.4040 0076083  94.5371 266.4350 16.19621788 22661
    
    SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27520 = 02- 42 F = DRTS rocket fairing 2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Nov 12 15:15     Nov 12 07:41 +-7m        30.3 N     0.7 E
    SatEvo     Nov 12 20:05     Nov 12 08:15 +-80m       24.3 S   125.3 E
    
    Final elset:
    DRTS r Fairng2   3.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   10       199 x 184 km
    1 27520U 02042F   02316.12166216  .16692400 -47185-5  32613-2 0  1304
    2 27520  30.3977  72.3306 0011184  47.3006 312.8690 16.30295547  9801
    
    Note: I have this decaying while southbound over Western Australia
    on the following SatEvo-predicted rev:
    DRTS r Fairng2   3.0  3.0  0.0  3.5 v   10       150 x 143 km
    1 27520U 02042F   02316.30453545 1.36052139  20441+2  25939-2 0 91303
    2 27520  30.3949  70.8996 0005144  49.5568 310.4879 16.47324097  9831
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Nov 12 2002 - 16:53:27 EST